“…GDD shows less yearto-year variation than does precipitation. Precipitation reconstructions for both study areas show general agreement with other regional reconstructions of drought 3,16 ; major pan-regional drought episodes occurred in the first half of the first century AD, the mid-AD 100s, mid-AD 700s, late AD 1200s and late AD 1500s. Several major droughts affect the VEPIIS area more strongly than the VEPIIN area, including those around AD 1000, the mid-AD 1100s and the late AD 1400s.…”