Climate Change Impact on Sugarcane Crop in the Gulf of Mexico: A Farmers Perception and Adaptation Measures

Guerrero-Carrera, Jesus; Landeros-Sánchez, Cesáreo; Martínez-Dávila, Juan Pablo; López-Romero, Gustavo; Nikolskii-Gavrilov, Iourii; Hernández-Pérez, Juan Manuel; Soto-Estrada, Alejandra

doi:10.5539/jas.v7n10p140

Cited by 3 publications

(4 citation statements)

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“…The empirical studies are geographically dispersed and present evidence from Mexico, Egypt, Brazil, Australia, and South Africa. In Mexico, a survey conducted in the Central Gulf region shows that 32.2% of sugarcane growers are taking measures to adapt to climate change, including waiting for seasonal rains for production and irrigation purposes, using spray irrigation, and conducting risk assessments when constructing irrigation systems . Other empirical studies focus on the development of more efficient water use strategies for Egypt, irrigation strategies for South Africa and Brazil, and drought tolerance traits for Australian sugarcane .…”

Section: Adaptation Studiesmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…In Mexico, a survey conducted in the Central Gulf region shows that 32.2% of sugarcane growers are taking measures to adapt to climate change, including waiting for seasonal rains for production and irrigation purposes, using spray irrigation, and conducting risk assessments when constructing irrigation systems. 123 Other empirical studies focus on the development of more efficient water use strategies for Egypt, 124 irrigation strategies for South Africa and Brazil, 71,125 and drought tolerance traits for Australian sugarcane. 126 In the context of Mauritius, Cheeroo-Nayamuth and Nayamuth 34 conclude that even though irrigation appears to be the best adaptation solution, it is difficult to implement due to water availability, costs, and possible policy restrictions.…”

Section: Adaptation Studiesmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Implications of climate change for the sugarcane industry

Linnenluecke

Nucifora

Thompson

2017

WIREs Climate Change

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This review was undertaken to draw together research on how climate change impacts sugarcane production, and to assess the implications of climate change for the sugarcane industry, as well as possible response options. Much of the extant research examines how changes in climate lead to changes in primary production; however, few studies consider how climate change translates into industry-wide impacts and economic consequences across the sugarcane value chain. Of the 90 studies we reviewed (published as journal articles, proceedings, and book chapters), 61 assess observed and/or projected impacts of climate change on sugarcane production. These studies reach largely different conclusions regarding how increases in air temperature or atmospheric carbon dioxide levels impact sugarcane production. These mixed results can be attributed to differences between the studies in terms of methods, time frames, and growing regions, which all limit cross-study comparability. A total of 17 studies focus on the adaptation to observed and/or projected impacts of climate change, such as changed management procedures or farming practices, but there is limited evidence regarding successful adaptation outcomes. In addition, a separate stream of papers discusses mitigating energy use and greenhouse gas emissions in the sugarcane production process, often with a view to reducing environmental impacts. Our review concludes by outlining the pathways for future research, highlighting that further insights are needed in particular regarding the economic consequences of climate change for the sugarcane industry. © 2017 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. How to cite this article:WIREs Clim Change 2018, 9:e498. doi: 10.1002/wcc.498 INTRODUCTION T he amount of sugarcane produced worldwide is over four times that produced in 1965 and has now reached over 2 billion tons globally.1 The industry contributes significantly to gross domestic product in major sugarcane producing economies such as Brazil, India, and China. From the late 1990s onward, driven by growing concern about climate change and its potential economic consequences for the agricultural sector, researchers began to study the impacts of climate change on sugarcane production to better understand how projected changes in variables such as air temperature, rainfall, and atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) concentration influence sugarcane production. [2][3][4][5][6][7] This has created a body of knowledge of how changes in climate lead to changes in the primary production of sugarcane. However, there are few studies that focus on how climate change translates into industry-wide impacts across the sugarcane value chain.8-10 Industry stakeholders of 34and researchers have therefore started to call for a better understanding not only of how climate change impacts agricultural production, but also of the possible economic consequences resulting from climate change for specific agricultural industries. 11,12This review was undertaken to draw together research on how climate change impacts sugarcane...

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Section: Adaptation Studiesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Adaptation Studiesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Implications of climate change for the sugarcane industry

Linnenluecke

Nucifora

Thompson

2017

WIREs Climate Change

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“…Other researchers projected a nationwide maize yield reduction of up to 10%, with regional decreases of up to 80% in RCP 8.5 (Murray-Tortarolo et al 2018) and an average maize yield of 0.25 to 0.5 t/ha for rainfed maize under the same RCP (Ureta et al 2020). Some papers also have analyzed diverse crops which include sugarcane (Guerrero-Carrera et al 2015;Baez-Gonzalez et al 2018) and wheat (Hernandez-Ochoa et al 2018). Such studies project an increase in sugarcane yield up to 13.0% under climate change scenarios (Baez-Gonzalez et al 2018) while wheat decreases up to 7.9% in the RCP8.5 (Hernandez-Ochoa et al 2018).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Impacts and economic costs of climate change on Mexican agriculture

et al. 2022

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This study quantifies the impacts of climate change on yields and the corresponding economic losses in six relevant crops that account for 65% of the harvested area in Mexico and are highly relevant in terms of consumption and economic value. The results show that crop yields could decrease considerably during this century, especially in the rainfed management system. Under a high-emission scenario, large reductions in yields are expected by the end of this century for both rainfed and irrigated management systems of maize (42%, 31.4%), rice (51.4%, 41.3%), sorghum (41.1%, 36.6%), soybean (59.1%, 44.9%), wheat (23.3%, 20.0%), and rainfed sugarcane (11.7%). At the national level, the present value of losses in the selected crops amounts to $37,934 million dollars, which represents about twice the current total national agricultural production of Mexico. Rainfed agriculture represents about 69% of these losses and reductions in maize yields account for almost 70% of the total losses. States such as Veracruz, Sinaloa, Tamaulipas, and Jalisco represent half of the total economic losses. However, about 16% of the aggregated losses occur in states with high levels of poverty and subsistence farming like Chiapas, Oaxaca, and Guerrero. Climate change will significantly increase the risks that already vulnerable subsistence farmers’ face in the present. Although ambitious mitigation efforts can reduce the estimated impacts in most of the crops, residual damages are considerable, and the prompt implementation adaptation strategies is required.

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“…Los resultados en este estudio reflejan que el 66.6% de las personas entrevistadas declara haber escuchado sobre el CC, de los cuales el 4.5% no se encuentra realmente informado sobre el tema, 86.3% está poco informado y 9% se considera bastante informado sobre la temática de CC. Guerrero-Carrera et al (2015) reportaron en agroecosistemas de caña de azúcar de Veracruz, México, que el 81% de los agricultores habían oído hablar del CC, el 97% percibió cambios en el clima, de ellos, el 73.5% percibió cambios en temperatura, 87.8% percibió cambios en la precipitación, 49% en el viento y 69% reclamaron daños a sus agroecosistemas por el CC.…”

Section: Conocimiento Sobre El Cambio Climáticounclassified

Percepción de citricultores ante el efecto del cambio climático en Campeche

Rosales-Martínez

Rubio²,

Pérez³

et al. 2020

Remexca

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En México, el cultivo de cítricos tiene una importancia alimentaria, social y cultural que llega a regir la vida familiar y la dinámica comunitaria en las regiones y están siendo afectadas por el cambio climático. El objetivo de esta investigación fue medir la percepción de los citricultores, ante el efecto del cambio climático. Se aplicó una encuesta participativa a 65 productores de cítricos de Campeche, México. Se midieron variables sobre ocurrencia de eventos asociados al cambio climático, daño directo a las plantas, percepción del aumento de fenómenos meteorológicos, cambio tecnológico y socioeconómico. Los encuestados son hombres (86.3%), de edad mayor y escolaridad básica. El 55% de los participantes posee tierra ejidal y 44% propiedad privada. El rendimiento promedio de los cítricos es bajo debido a la falta de sistemas de riego tecnificado y a los efectos del cambio climático, particularmente el aumento de la temperatura y el descenso de la precipitación. Los productores poseen un total de siete tipos de cultivos en sus parcelas, sin correlación con el tamaño de propiedad (r= 0.032), ni con el área destinada al cultivo (r= 0.33). El 66.6% de los participantes ha escuchado sobre el cambio climático siendo la fuente de información la televisión. El 69.6% ha percibido cambios mayores en el clima, lo que ha motivado a realizar cambios en el tipo de labranza (McNemar.test χ2= 10.56, p< 0.01**). Así, los efectos del cambio climático están incidiendo en las prácticas de manejo de los cítricos en Campeche; sin embargo, son acciones reactivas y se requieren de investigaciones que cuantifiquen y valoren los daños por este fenómeno y se diseñen estrategias para contrarrestar sus efectos en el mediano y largo plazo.

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Climate Change Impact on Sugarcane Crop in the Gulf of Mexico: A Farmers Perception and Adaptation Measures

Cited by 3 publications

References 7 publications

Implications of climate change for the sugarcane industry

Implications of climate change for the sugarcane industry

Impacts and economic costs of climate change on Mexican agriculture

Percepción de citricultores ante el efecto del cambio climático en Campeche

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