Climate Change: Potential Effects on Demands for US Military Humanitarian Assistance and Disaster Response

Abstract

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The Military-Climate Change System: A Case Study Using the Agent Based Approach (ABA)

“…The ST-Loop Feedback is utilized to compare a mental model with reality and change it to reflect reality 24 . Feedback can be gained through reputable publications and literature review, subject matter experts, or experimentation.…”

Climate change and military planning

“…Contributions in this strand of literature are generally based on less catastrophic scenarios of the consequences of climate change (with the exception of the aforementioned study for the Pentagon) and more focused on short-to mid-term changes. Concerns over consequences of climate change for armed forces are given more attention than in the broader literature on climate change and security but are often focused on particular issues, such as demand for military capabilities to meet humanitarian disasters (McGrady et al, 2010) or effects of climate change on military bases (National Academy of Sciences, (2011), Smith et al, 2010;Foley, 2012). The emphasis in most of the contributions is put on the costs, in human and financial terms, of a future with major climate change.…”