Climate change scenarios and runoff response in the Mulde catchment (Southern Elbe, Germany)

Resistance and Resilience of A Stream Salamander To Supraseasonal Drought

“…In some river catchments, where increasing urban and rural water demand has already exceeded sustainable levels of supply, ongoing and proposed adaptation strategies [WGII 11.2.5] It is projected that climate change will have a range of impacts on water resources (Table 5.3). Annual runoff increases are projected in Atlantic-and northern Europe (Werritty, 2001;Andréasson et al, 2004), and decreases in central, Mediterranean and eastern Europe (Chang et al, 2002;Etchevers et al, 2002;Menzel and Bürger, 2002;Iglesias et al, 2005). Annual average runoff is projected to increase in northern Europe (north of 47°N) by approximately 5-15% up to the 2020s and by 9-22% up to the 2070s, for the A2 and B2 scenarios and climate scenarios from two different climate models (Alcamo et al, 2007).…”

Statistical study to identify the key factors governing ground water recharge in the watersheds of the arid Central Asia

“…The main link between these reservoirs is the hydrological cycle, which provides fresh water for humans and continental ecosystem functions. At present, the world is experiencing an undeniable temperature increase and thereby inevitably is faced with various environmental problems, among which the acceleration of global water cycle processes induced by increasing temperature is prominent (Menzel and Burger 2002). The consequences of these hydrological changes for future water availability, predicted with high confidence and already diagnosed in some regions, are likely to be severe (Barnett et al 2005), especially in the arid zones.…”

Coastal Lagoons in Europe: Integrated Water Resource Strategies

“…Often in the past, when the effects of climate change on water budget and/or water quality were studied, only one regional climate model was used as a driver of the hydrological model. By that, the uncertainty arising from the use of different RCMs was practically ignored (Menzel & Bürger, 2002;Eckhardt & Ulbrich, 2003;Feyen & Dankers, 2009). Therefore, in order to better account for uncertainty in the projection of impacts, the use of ensembles of climate scenarios from different RCMs was suggested (Cameron, 2006;Graham et al 2007).…”

“…The common approach is to apply a validated hydrological model driven by the projected climate scenarios for the future in the region under study. Many such studies have applied either conceptual precipitation-runoff models accounting for water balance components (e.g., Menzel & Bürger, 2002;Arnell, 2003;Drogue et al 2004), or more complex process-based hydrological models (Muttiah & Wurbs, 2002;Krysanova et al 2005;Hattermann et al 2008) at the river basin scale.…”

“…The projects GLOWA-Elbe (http://www.glowa-elbe.de) and GLOWA-Danube (http://www.glowa-danube.de) are two examples of integrated studies on climate change impacts in the Elbe and Danube river basins. Besides that, many papers have been published focusing on the impacts of climate change on water fluxes in different river basins (e.g., Mauser & Bach, 2009;Menzel & Bürger, 2002;Krysanova et al 2005). Many studies were also conducted with an aim to evaluate potential impacts of changing climate on water flows in coastal areas and their importance for ecological status of coastal waters (e.g., Najjar et al 2000;Simas et al 2001;Scavia et al 2002;Thanh et al 2004;Qi et al 2009).…”