Climate‐induced range shifts of invasive species (<scp><i>Diaphorina citri</i></scp> Kuwayama)

Aidoo, Owusu Fordjour; Souza, Philipe Guilherme Corcino; Silva, Ricardo Siqueira; Júnior, Paulo Antônio Santana; Picanço, Marcelo Coutinho; Kyerematen, Rosina; Sétamou, Mamoudou; Ekesi, Sunday; Borgemeister, Christian

doi:10.1002/ps.6886

Cited by 54 publications

(41 citation statements)

References 75 publications

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“…These environmental modifications often lead to changes in global ecosystems, like rising sea levels and reducing suitable areas for crop production and pest outbreaks 3 , 4 . In response, several studies have assessed climate change impacts on pests and diseases of many crops 5 – 9 . The findings from such studies provide a theoretical basis for determining species' habitats and generating information that can guide management decisions 10 .…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…D. citri occurs in the Americas, Asia, Africa, the Saudi Arabian Peninsula and some islands in the Indian Ocean 23 . D. citri has the potential to spread to new citrus regions that were initially free of its occurrence 5 . It is possible that D. citri spreads naturally from a neighbouring location, where it is already a pest, or brought in by a commodity, transit vector, or a combination of these mechanisms 26 .…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…However, several studies on T. radiata have mainly focused on its ecology, biology and management 31 , 37 , 38 , with limited information on how climate change impacts T. radiata geographical distribution under climate change. Given that earlier studies have predicted the potential expansion of suitable areas for its main host ( D. citri ) and citrus greening 5 , 39 , it was imperative to study the habitats of T. radiata to guide biological control decisions.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Tamarixia radiata global distribution to current and future climate using the climate change experiment (CLIMEX) model

Souza

Aidoo²,

Farnezi

et al. 2023

Sci Rep

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The phloem-limited bacteria, “Candidatus Liberibacter asiaticus” and “Ca. L. americanus”, are the causal pathogens responsible for Huanglongbing (HLB). The Asian citrus psyllid Diaphorina citri Kuwayama (Hemiptera: Liviidae) is the principal vector of these “Ca. Liberibacter” species. Though Tamarixia radiata Waterston (Hymenoptera: Eulophidae) has been useful in biological control programmes against D. citri, information on its global distribution remains vague. Using the Climate Change Experiment (CLIMEX) model, the potential global distribution of T. radiata under the 2050s, 2070s, and 2090s for Special Report on Emissions Scenarios A1B and A2 was defined globally. The results showed that habitat suitability for T. radiata covered Africa, Asia, Europe, Oceania, and the Americas. The model predicted climate suitable areas for T. radiata beyond its presently known native and non-native areas. The new locations predicted to have habitat suitability for T. radiata included parts of Europe and Oceania. Under the different climate change scenarios, the model predicted contraction of high habitat suitability (EI > 30) for T. radiata from the 2050s to the 2090s. Nevertheless, the distribution maps created using the CLIMEX model may be helpful in the search for and release of T. radiata in new regions.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Tamarixia radiata global distribution to current and future climate using the climate change experiment (CLIMEX) model

Souza

Aidoo²,

Farnezi

et al. 2023

Sci Rep

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“…In the final model, the suitability maps have values ranging from 0 to 1, indicating the probability ( p ) of occurrence of the pest. MTSPS (Maximum Test Sensitivity Plus Specifificity threshold) was used as the breakpoint [ 38 ]. Combined with the distribution data and the fitting of species-suitable areas, the criteria for classification of habitat suitability according to the existence probability were as follows: A. glabripennis MTSPS = 0.0639; D. helophoroides MTSPS = 0.0612; D. major MTSPS = 0.1389 [ 39 ].…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Predicting Distribution of the Asian Longhorned Beetle, Anoplophora glabripennis (Coleoptera: Cerambycidae) and Its Natural Enemies in China

Zhang

Wang

Lei

2022

Insects

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The Asian longhorned beetle, Anoplophora glabripennis, is a forestry pest found worldwide. A. glabripennis causes serious harm because of the lack of natural enemies in the invaded areas. Dastarcus helophoroides and Dendrocopos major are important natural enemies of A. glabripennis. MaxEnt was used to simulate the distribution of D. helophoroides and D. major in China, and their suitable areas were superimposed to pinpoint which regions are potentially appropriate to release or establish natural enemy populations under current and future conditions. The results showed that, with climate change, the suitable areas of D. helophoroides and D. major migrated northward; the centroid shift of A. glabripennis was greater than those of D. helophoroides and D. major. From current conditions to 2090, the suitable area of A. glabripennis, D. helophoroides, and D. major will increase by 1.44 × 104, 20.10 × 104, and 31.64 × 104 km2, respectively. Northern China (e.g., Xinjiang, Gansu, and Inner Mongolia), where A. glabripennis causes more serious damage, is also a potentially suitable area for D. helophoroides and D. major, and this provides a potential strategy for the management of A. glabripennis. Therefore, we suggest that natural enemies should be included in the model used for predicting suitable areas for invasive pests.

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“…We used ArcGIS to reclassify and visualize the ASC files. The maximum training sensitivity plus specificity threshold (MTSPS) was used to classify the model output results (logistic output) into unsuitable and suitable for A. variabilis , which is considered simple and effective ( Aidoo et al, 2022 ). MTSPS has been shown to be robust for selecting thresholds when model outputs are based on presence-only data ( Liu et al, 2013 ).…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Predicting the distribution of suitable habitat of the poisonous weed Astragalus variabilis in China under current and future climate conditions

Huang

Du²,

Wen³

et al. 2022

Front. Plant Sci.

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Astragalus variabilis is a locoweed of northwest China that can seriously impede livestock development. However, it also plays various ecological roles, such as wind protection and sand fixation. Here, we used an optimized MaxEnt model to predict the distribution of suitable habitat of A. variabilis under current (1970–2000) conditions and future (2021–2080) climate change scenarios based on recent occurrence records. The most important environmental variables (suitability ranges in parentheses) affecting the distribution of A. variabilis were average maximum temperature of February (–2.12–5.34°C), followed by total precipitation of June (2.06–37.33 mm), and topsoil organic carbon (0.36–0.69%). The habitat suitability of A. variabilis was significantly correlated with the frequency of livestock poisoning (p < 0.05). Under current climate conditions, the suitable environment of A. variabilis was distributed in central and western Inner Mongolia, Ningxia, central and northwestern Gansu, central and northwestern Qinghai, and the four basins around the Tianshan Mountains in Xinjiang. Under future climate conditions, the suitable habitat of A. variabilis shifted to higher latitudes and altitudes. No previous studies have used niche models to predict the suitable environment of this species nor analyzed the relationship between the habitat suitability of poisonous plants and the frequency of animal poisoning. Our findings provide new insights that will aid the prevention of livestock animal poisoning and the control of poisonous plants, promote the development of the livestock husbandry industry, and provide basic information that will facilitate the maintenance of the ecological balance of grassland ecosystems.

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Climate‐induced range shifts of invasive species (Diaphorina citri Kuwayama)

Cited by 54 publications

References 75 publications

Tamarixia radiata global distribution to current and future climate using the climate change experiment (CLIMEX) model

Tamarixia radiata global distribution to current and future climate using the climate change experiment (CLIMEX) model

Predicting Distribution of the Asian Longhorned Beetle, Anoplophora glabripennis (Coleoptera: Cerambycidae) and Its Natural Enemies in China

Predicting the distribution of suitable habitat of the poisonous weed Astragalus variabilis in China under current and future climate conditions

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