Climate service warnings: cautions about commercializing climate science for adaptation in the developing world

Webber, Sophie; Donner, Simon D.

doi:10.1002/wcc.424

Cited by 46 publications

(35 citation statements)

References 50 publications

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“…Early climate service design principles at these different scales were developed by the GFCS through a series of exemplars and consultative strategic documents (Hewitt et al 2012) informed by earlier work (e.g., NRC 2001, among others). More recent research has reinforced many of the earlier conclusions on building capacity, particularly within NMHSs to transform them into national climate service centers (such as Mahon et al 2019), the benefits of coproducing user-oriented climate information (Vincent et al 2018), opportunities and challenges associated with commercializing climate services (Webber and Donner 2017), and the role of different actors and different approaches in the design of climate services (Christel et al 2018).…”

Section: Examples Of Gfcs Success At the Regional Scalementioning

confidence: 88%

“…The sector has different knowledge of the needs of users and different approaches to research and development, often with more rapid development cycles than public sector organizations for delivering specific outcomes. However, there are also possible pitfalls to such private sector engagement in development and delivery, including potentially not funding the underpinning climate science capability, and commercial models potentially disadvantaging the developing world (Webber and Donner 2017).…”

Section: E248mentioning

confidence: 99%

See 1 more Smart Citation

Making Society Climate Resilient: International Progress under the Global Framework for Climate Services

Hewitt

Allis

Mason³

et al. 2020

Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society

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There is growing awareness among governments, businesses, and the general public of risks arising from changes to our climate on time scales from months through to decades. Some climatic changes could be unprecedented in their harmful socioeconomic impacts, while others with adequate forewarning and planning could offer benefits. There is therefore a pressing need for decision-makers, including policy-makers, to have access to and to use high-quality, accessible, relevant, and credible climate information about the past, present, and future to help make better-informed decisions and policies. We refer to the provision and use of such information as climate services. Established programs of research and operational activities are improving observations and climate monitoring, our understanding of climate processes, climate variability and change, and predictions and projections of the future climate. Delivering climate information (including data and knowledge) in a way that is usable and useful for decision-makers has had less attention, and society has yet to optimally benefit from the available information. While weather services routinely help weather-sensitive decision-making, similar services for decisions on longer time scales are less well established. Many organizations are now actively developing climate services, and a growing number of decision-makers are keen to benefit from such services. This article describes progress made over the past decade developing, delivering, and using climate services, in particular from the worldwide effort galvanizing around the Global Framework for Climate Services under the coordination of UN agencies. The article highlights challenges in making further progress and proposes potential new directions to address such challenges.

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Section: Examples Of Gfcs Success At the Regional Scalementioning

confidence: 88%

Section: E248mentioning

confidence: 99%

Making Society Climate Resilient: International Progress under the Global Framework for Climate Services

Hewitt

Allis

Mason³

et al. 2020

Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…Hence, it is important not to overrate the accordance of findings generated by various models amongst each other. As stated by Hewitson et al (2013) and Webber and Donner (2016), the closeness of simulations, generated by different models ('precision'), is in fact no measure how well real processes are approximated ('accuracy').…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Evaluation of the empirical–statistical downscaling method EPISODES

et al. 2018

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A comprehensive performance assessment of the empirical-statistical downscaling (ESD) technique named EPISODES is presented. Pertaining evaluation analyses consist of multifarious validation experiments as well as various comparisons of EPISODES' projections with those of three RCMs and two ESD methods based on the same GCM scenarios driven by two distinct representative concentration pathways (RCPs). EPISODES combines the downscaling of GCM simulations with a follow-up production of synthetic local time series. EPISODES is a comparably simple, computationally rather inexpensive technique, providing multi-variable and multi-site data that are suitable for being merged in an ensemble of RCM projections. This allows (e.g. for different RCPs) the compilation of large multi member ensembles derived from various GCM simulations via both main downscaling strategies (ESD and RCMs). Evaluation experiments reveal satisfying degrees of compliance between various results generated by EPISODES and observations. The grid cell bias for yearly values, for instance, is mostly less than 0.1 • C for temperature and 10% for precipitation totals. Recorded temperature values and precipitation totals corresponding to their 1st and the 99th percentiles are well represented by EPISODES too. Comparisons of various climate change signals derived by EPISODES and other downscaling approaches, present high levels of agreement as well. Many more findings referring to evaluation experiments and climate change projections are to be found in the paper as well as throughout the "Appendix".

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“…An increasing trend towards commercializing climate science further blurs the incentive structure for providing equitable, locally specific adaptation. 83…”

Section: Researcher/scientist Riskscapesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Interrupted Atolls: Riskscapes and Edge Imaginaries in Tuvalu

Yarina¹,

Takemoto²

2017

TPJ

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Climate change puts the edge between land and sea in sharp relief; sea level rise is essentially a condition of drifting littoral edges. As rising seas threaten to encroach on land-based territories, cities and nations have responded by attempting to fix the edge at a moment in time, blocking the sea's insidious creep. Atolls formed by coral reefs are mobile, living geographies, which resist attempts to harden their perimeter through structures such as seawalls. We explore how ideas and imaginaries associated with the "edge" between sea and land in the atoll-nation of Tuvalu illustrate competing "riskscapes" and objectives associated with the actors involved. This essay explores this interplay between politics, aid, technocratic solutions, media representations, global aspirations, local ambitions, and climate risk in Tuvalu through an examination of past/future seawalls and other proposals (realized and unrealized) for controlling atoll edges. Through the cases, we seek to re-politicize the edge, unpacking the difficulties surrounding adaptation issues in small-island states, and explore alternative models of "resilient edges" for atoll-dwellers living with climate changes.

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Climate service warnings: cautions about commercializing climate science for adaptation in the developing world

Cited by 46 publications

References 50 publications

Making Society Climate Resilient: International Progress under the Global Framework for Climate Services

Making Society Climate Resilient: International Progress under the Global Framework for Climate Services

Evaluation of the empirical–statistical downscaling method EPISODES

Interrupted Atolls: Riskscapes and Edge Imaginaries in Tuvalu

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