2015
DOI: 10.1017/s1355770x14000722
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Climate variability and international migration: an empirical analysis

Abstract: Is international migration an adaptation strategy to sudden or gradual climatic shocks? In this paper we investigate the direct and the indirect role of climatic shocks in developing countries as a determinant of out-migration flows toward rich OECD countries in the period 1990-2001. Contrarily to the bulk of existing studies we use a macro approach and explicitly consider the heterogeneity of climatic shocks (type, size, sign of shocks and seasonal effects). Our results show that the occurrence of adverse cli… Show more

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Cited by 99 publications
(82 citation statements)
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“…In our previous paper (Beine and Parsons 2015) we estimated a pseudo-gravity model, which derives from a random utility model in a similar vein to Dallman and Millock (2013) and Coniglio and Pesce (2015). This approach has been widely applied outside of the environment and migration literature; see for example Grogger and Hanson (2011) and Beine et al (2011).…”
Section: Empirical Considerationsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…In our previous paper (Beine and Parsons 2015) we estimated a pseudo-gravity model, which derives from a random utility model in a similar vein to Dallman and Millock (2013) and Coniglio and Pesce (2015). This approach has been widely applied outside of the environment and migration literature; see for example Grogger and Hanson (2011) and Beine et al (2011).…”
Section: Empirical Considerationsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…On the one hand, climate has been found to affect international outmigration from poor to rich (OECD) countries (Coniglio and Pesce, 2015). In particular, Cai et al (2014) show that temperature at origin positively affects outmigration to OECD destinations in agriculturally-dependent countries.…”
Section: Appendix B Literature Reviewmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The authors do not test for environmental factors in the destination states, which may be relevant here, given that the sample includes south-south migration. Coniglio & Pesce (2015) further refine the analysis by using more detailed definitions of the weather variables. They separate positive and negative anomalies during the dry season and the rainy season and include interannual variability of rainfall, defined as the mean absolute deviation over the long-term mean absolute deviation for each of the three lags considered in the analysis (1, 3, and 5 years before the observed migration flow).…”
Section: Regional Population Distribution and International Migrationmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…To conclude discussion of the international studies, Barrios et al (2006), Naudé (2009), Marchiori et al (2012, and Beine & Parsons (2015) include south-south migration (or study only such migration) in their samples, whereas Alexeev et al (2011) and Coniglio & Pesce (2015) focus on data from OECD in-migration only. The main difference in results between the international studies thus stems from the data used: whether the data are extrapolated from migrant stock data or from higher-frequency data.…”
Section: Regional Population Distribution and International Migrationmentioning
confidence: 99%
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