CLIMEX modelling for risk assessment of Asian fruit fly, Bactrocera papayae (Drew and Hancock, 1994) in India

Sridhar, V.; Vinesh, L. S.; Jayashankar, M.; Jayanthi, P. D. Kamala; Verghese, Abraham

doi:10.22438/jeb/38/1/ms-122

Cited by 2 publications

(2 citation statements)

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“…This example illustrates the lag phase from initial detection in infested fruits in 1975 to species identification in 1986 and confirmation that the specimen had come from South-east Asia four years later (Suckling et al, 2016). Forecasting models of pests, such as CLIMEX (Sridhar et al, 2017), and VARMAX (Chuang et al, 2014), can enable the monitoring of fruit flies to make preemptive and effective pest management decisions prior to the occurrence of real problems (Chuang et al, 2014).…”

Section: Fruit Fly Monitoringmentioning

confidence: 88%

Fruit fly management research: A systematic review of monitoring and control tactics in the world

et al. 2018

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Section: Fruit Fly Monitoringmentioning

confidence: 88%

Fruit fly management research: A systematic review of monitoring and control tactics in the world

et al. 2018

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“…Climate change can have a substantial influence on the habitat range of a species, especially cold‐blooded species such as insects . With the development of climate models to simulate future climate scenarios, predicting changes in the potential geographic distribution of pest species has become easier and can provide data valuable for implementing timely monitoring and control strategies . Several models are now available to predict species distributions.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Prediction of current and future potential distributions of theEucalyptuspestLeptocybe invasa(Hymenoptera: Eulophidae) in China using the CLIMEX model

Huang

Shi

et al. 2019

Pest Management Science

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BACKGROUND: The wasp Leptocybe invasaFisher & LaSalle (Hymenoptera: Eulophidae), a Eucalyptus (Myrtaceae) pest native to Australia, has caused economic and ecologic losses in China. It is a serious pest in southern provinces. Because climate is a limiting factor in insect distribution, we used the model CLIMEX to predict the effect of climate change on potential current and future distributions of L. invasa in China. Data were collected on the current locations of this wasp, along with the damage incurred to Eucalyptus. These data were used to create a forecast model to predict potential current and future distribution maps of L. invasa in China. RESULTS:The verification results showed that 99.5% of the distribution samples formulated by the model are highly reliable and accurate. The result predicted that the potential current distribution of L. invasa will concentrate south of the Yellow River basin. The future distribution maps predicted a small-scale potential expansion north-northwest of Guangxi and more areas within China will provide increasingly suitable habitats for colonization by L. invasa. CONCLUSION: These distribution predications will be useful in determining where preventive and control measures should be implemented against this pest wasp in Eucalyptus throughout China.

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CLIMEX modelling for risk assessment of Asian fruit fly, Bactrocera papayae (Drew and Hancock, 1994) in India

Cited by 2 publications

References 8 publications

Fruit fly management research: A systematic review of monitoring and control tactics in the world

Fruit fly management research: A systematic review of monitoring and control tactics in the world

Prediction of current and future potential distributions of theEucalyptuspestLeptocybe invasa(Hymenoptera: Eulophidae) in China using the CLIMEX model

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