To identify the clinical features and independent predictors of survival in older patients with bone metastasis from prostate cancer (PCa). We retrospectively analysed 205 older patients with bone metastases from PCa between 1997 and 2012. The Kaplan-Meier method was used with the log-rank test for survival rate calculations and to evaluate each variable. Multivariate analysis was performed with the Cox regression model. The chi-squared test was used to compare survival rates between older and younger (n5197) patients. All patients were followed up. The 1-, 2-, 3-and 5-year survival rates were 95.5%, 77.5%, 68.5% and 33.7%, respectively. Gleason score, radiotherapy of the primary tumour, the number of bone metastases, the alkaline phosphatase alkaline phosphatase (ALP) level, organ metastasis and regional lymph node metastasis were associated with the survival rates. Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that Gleason score at diagnosis of the primary tumour was a significant predictor of overall survival following the diagnosis of bone metastases. In addition, the overall survival rates of older patients were higher compared with younger patients, but older patients who underwent radiotherapy had higher mortality. These data may serve as a guide for creating clinical prediction models in further studies.
INTRODUCTIONProstate cancer (PCa) is the most commonly diagnosed malignancy among males in developed countries and the second leading cause of cancer-related mortality. 1 Currently, the incidence is rapidly increasing in developing Asian counties such as China. It is the only solid tumour diagnosed with its first recurrence as bone metastases instead of visceral metastases. PCa frequently metastasizes to bone, and treatment with androgen deprivation leads to accelerated bone loss, resulting in clinically relevant skeletal complications associated with disabling symptoms. 2 Among patients who die from PCa, the incidence of skeletal involvement appears to be .85%. 3,4 Eisenberger and Hussain et al. 5 identified baseline covariates that predict the long-term survival of patients with metastatic PCa based on the Southwest Oncology Group criteria. Minimal disease, better Southwest Oncology Group performance status, no bone pain, lower Gleason score and lower prostate-specific antigen (PSA) level were independent factors associated with longer survival. 5 In our previous study, we found that bone metastasis of PCa was more common in older males, 6 but no prognostic factors for these PCa patients were identified. In this retrospective study, the sample size was enlarged and 205 PCa patients older than 70 with bone metastases were included. The patients' clinical features and main prognostic factors, including age, Gleason score, stage, endocrine therapy, castration, radiotherapy, number of bone lesions, PSA and alkaline phosphatase (ALP) levels, neighbouring organ metastasis, regional and remote lymph node metastases, invasion of the surrounding parenchyma and other