CONTEXT
Active surveillance (AS) is an important strategy to reduce prostate cancer overtreatment. However, the optimal criteria for eligibility and predictors of progression while on AS are debated.
OBJECTIVE
To review primary data on markers, genetic factors and risk stratification for patient selection and predictors of progression during AS.
EVIDENCE ACQUISITION
Electronic searches were conducted in PubMed, Embase and CENTRAL from inception to April 2014 for original articles on biomarkers and risk stratification for AS.
EVIDENCE SYNTHESIS
Patient factors associated with AS outcomes in some studies include age, race, and family history. Multiple studies provide consistent evidence that lower percent free PSA, higher Prostate Health Index (phi), higher PSA density and greater biopsy core involvement at baseline predict a greater risk of progression. During follow-up, serial measurements of phi, PSA density, and repeat biopsy results predict later biopsy progression. While some studies have suggested a univariate relationship between urinary PCA3 and TMPRSS2:ERG with adverse biopsy features, these markers have not been consistently shown to independently predict AS outcomes. At this point, there is no conclusive data to support the use of genetic tests in AS Limitations of these studies include heterogeneous definitions of progression and limited follow-up.
CONCLUSIONS
There is a growing body of literature on patient characteristics, biopsy features, and biomarkers with potential utility in AS. More data are needed on practical applications such as combining these tests into multivariable clinical algorithms and long term outcomes, to further improve AS in the future.
PATIENT SUMMARY
Several PSA-based tests (free PSA, Prostate Health Index, PSA density) and the extent of cancer on biopsy can help to stratify the risk of progression during AS. Investigation into several other markers is underway.