1980
DOI: 10.1161/01.cir.61.3.508
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Clinical judgment and statistics. Lessons from a simulated randomized trial in coronary artery disease.

Abstract: A simulated randomized clinical trial in coronary artery disease was conducted to illustrate the need for clinical judgment and modern statistical methods in assessing therapeutic claims in studies of complex diseases. Clinicians should be aware of problems that occur when a patient sample is subdivided and treatment effects are assessed within multiple prognostic categories. In this example, 1073 consecutive, medically treated coronary artery disease patients from the Duke University data bank were randomized… Show more

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Cited by 150 publications
(35 citation statements)
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“…Several examples now exist documenting the ability of observational studies to achieve the same results as randomized controlled trials in well-characterized diseases. 23 24 Nevertheless, in each new situation the completeness with which important baseline differences have been characterized must be questioned. No single observational treatment comparison can be regarded as definitive.…”
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confidence: 99%
“…Several examples now exist documenting the ability of observational studies to achieve the same results as randomized controlled trials in well-characterized diseases. 23 24 Nevertheless, in each new situation the completeness with which important baseline differences have been characterized must be questioned. No single observational treatment comparison can be regarded as definitive.…”
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confidence: 99%
“…In this paper, we want to illustrate the probable consequences of an extensive use of multiple significance tests in several subgroups of a study population by means of a 'hypothetical clinical trial' in breast cancer patients treated in a uniform way. A similar approach had been formerly presented by Lee [1] in patients with coronary heart disease.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 80%
“…8 We conducted a total of 172 subgroup analyses to determine the effect of treatment in 86 subgroups after 1 year and after the entire follow-up. Under the null hypothesis that the treatment effect does not differ by subgroup, we would expect Ϸ4 (5%) of 86 interactions to be nominally significant at PϽ0.05 by chance alone, both for the 1-year and overall follow-up periods.…”
Section: Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%