Background and Aims
We aimed to determine whether the HCV viral load after four weeks of treatment (W4VL) with direct-acting antiviral agents (DAAs) predicts sustained virologic response (SVR) in a real-world clinical setting.
Methods
We identified 21,095 patients who initiated DAA-based antiviral treatment in the national Veterans Affairs (VA) healthcare system from 01/01/2014 to 06/30/2015. W4VL was categorized as undetectable, detectable below quantification (DBQ), detectable above quantification (DAQ) with viral load ≤42 IU/mL (DAQ≤42) and DAQ with viral load > 42 IU/mL (DAQ>42).
Results
W4VL was undetectable in 36.1%, DBQ in 45.6%, DAQ≤42 in 9.3%, DAQ>42 in 9.1%. DAQ was much more common and undetectable W4VL much less common when tested with the Abbott RealTime HCV assay versus the Roche COBAS AmpliPrep/COBAS TaqMan Version 2 assay. Compared to patients with undetectable W4VL (SVR=93.5%), those with DBQ (SVR=91.8%, adjusted odds ratio [AOR] 0.79, p-value=0.001), DAQ≤42 (SVR=90.0%, AOR 0.63, p-value<0.001) and DAQ>42 (SVR=86.2%, AOR 0.52, p-value<0.001) had progressively lower likelihood of achieving SVR after adjusting for baseline characteristics and treatment duration. Among genotype 1-infected patients who were potentially eligible for 8-week sofosbuvir/ledipasvir monotherapy, we did not find evidence that treatment for 12 weeks instead of 8 weeks was associated with higher SVR, even among those with DAQ.
Conclusions
DBQ and DAQ W4VL are very common in real-world practice, contrary to what was reported in clinical trials, and strongly predict reduced SVR across genotypes and clinically-relevant patient subgroups. Whether and how W4VL results should influence treatment decisions requires further study.