Co-design of sectoral climate services based on seasonal prediction information in the Mediterranean

Sánchez-García, Eroteida; Rodríguez-Camino, Ernesto; Bacciu, Valentina; Chiarle, Marta; Costa-Saura, José; Garrido, Maria Nieves; Lledó, Llorenç; Navascués, Beatriz; Paranunzio, Roberta; Terzago, Silvia; Bongiovanni, Giulio; Mereu, Valentina; Nigrelli, Guido; Santini, Monia; Soret, Albert; Hardenberg, Jost von

doi:10.1016/j.cliser.2022.100337

Cited by 6 publications

(7 citation statements)

References 34 publications

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“…The current approach lays down a new foundation stone in understanding coastal flood patterns (both incidence and spatial occurrence trends) and-provided that registries for natural disasters exist for other coastal regions-is generally applicable. Both the approach and the derived database insights are pivotal for enhancing flood prediction and management and are especially relevant for developing user-driven coastal climate services [27,40,41] that integrate more detailed local environmental and atmospheric data. A registry database for natural disasters (like SPIN), as a collaboration between active citizens and trained professionals is, in part, a user-driven (citizen science) platform that, with improvements as suggested above, would enable community empowerment and aid protection services.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…These additional guideline considerations would already address some of the limitations of the current approach; such improvements would allow for effective integration of SPIN data into any future sea flooding models and would make flood event research easier and more concise, as data would be less subjective and easier to verify. Thus, the SPIN database would further contribute to enhancing the climate resilience of the coastal community and supporting the development of coastal climate services [27,40,41].…”

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confidence: 99%

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Coastal Flood Risk Assessment: An Approach to Accurately Map Flooding through National Registry-Reported Events

Kralj,

Kumer,

Meulenberg

2023

JMSE

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The escalating frequency and severity of climate-related hazards in the Mediterranean, particularly in the historic town of Piran, Slovenia, underscore the critical need for enhanced coastal flood prediction and efficient early warning systems. This study delves into the impediments of available coastal flood hazard maps and the existing early warning system, which rely on distant sensors, neglecting the town’s unique microclimate. The current study leverages the public registry maintained by the Administration of the Republic of Slovenia for Civil Protection and Disaster Relief (URSZR), an underutilized resource for generating comprehensive and accurate flooding maps for Piran. Here, we show that in the historic town of Piran, floodings reported through the national registry can be used to map coastal flooding by means of verification and validation of the georeferenced reports therein, with subsequent correlation analysis (hotspot, cluster, and elevation polygons) that show temporal and spatial patterns. The innovative approach adopted in this study aims to bolster the accuracy and reliability of flooding data, offering a more nuanced understanding of flood patterns (in Piran, but generally applicable where national or regional registries are available). The findings of this research illuminate the pressing need for localized field-report and sensor systems to enhance the precision of flood predictions. The study underscores the pivotal role of accurate, localized data in fortifying coastal towns against the escalating impacts of climate change, safeguarding both the inhabitants and the invaluable architectural heritage of historic areas.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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confidence: 99%

Coastal Flood Risk Assessment: An Approach to Accurately Map Flooding through National Registry-Reported Events

Kralj,

Kumer,

Meulenberg

2023

JMSE

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“…Similarly to the OPW Flood Map and given the uncertainties raised above, the information presented in this paper should not be interpreted to mean that areas will flood but rather that there is the possibility that they may flood in the future. In this context, the integration of new data retrieved by climate services could be of help in improving coastal flooding models and local hydrology models [85,86].…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Assessing Coastal Flood Risk in a Changing Climate for Dublin, Ireland

Paranunzio

Guerrini

Dwyer³

et al. 2022

JMSE

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With increasing urban expansion and population growth, coastal urban areas will be increasingly affected by climate change impacts such as extreme storm events, sea level rise and coastal flooding. To address coastal inundation risk for impact studies, integrated approaches accounting for flood hazard modelling, exposure and vulnerability of human and environmental systems are crucial. In this study, we model the impacts of sea level rise on coastal inundation depth for County Dublin, the most extensively urbanized area in Ireland, for the current period and for 2100 under two Representative Concentration Pathways RCP 4.5 and 8.5. A risk-centred approach has been considered by linking the information on coastal flood-prone areas to the exposure of the urban environment, in terms of potential future land cover changes, and to the socioeconomic vulnerability of the population. The results suggest significant challenges for Dublin city and the surrounding coastal areas, with an increase of around 26% and 67% in the number of administrative units considered at very high risk by the end of the century under a RCP 4.5 and 8.5, respectively. This study aims to contribute to existing coastal inundation research undertaken for Ireland by (i) providing a first-level screening of flooding hazards in the study area, (ii) demonstrating how land cover changes and socioeconomic vulnerability can contribute to the level of experienced risk and (iii) informing local authorities and at-risk communities so as to support them in the development of plans for adaptation and resilience.

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“…The most common description of a CS involves the provision of climate information to assist decision-making [12]. More analytically, CSs entail generating, providing, and contextualizing information and knowledge derived from climate research aiming at decision-making across all sectors of society [13].…”

Section: What Is a Climate Service?mentioning

confidence: 99%

A Pathway towards Climate Services for the Agricultural Sector

Charalampopoulos,

Droulia

2024

Climate

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Climate change is already having a negative impact on many areas of human activity, affecting life globally. It is more urgent than ever to increase our adaptive capacity to respond to current and future climate change risks. Climate services refer to a specialized sector that encompasses both research and operational activities. This sector is primarily focused on interpreting and communicating knowledge and information about climate risks in a manner that is tailored to meet the specific needs of diverse user communities. Climate services offer a range of specialized outputs, including forecasts, assessments, and advisories, which enable users to make decisions that are based on an understanding of the potential impacts of climate change. The outputs of climate services are designed to help diverse user communities effectively manage risks and capitalize on opportunities arising from climate variability and change. An attempt is made to outline the fundamental elements of climate services and point out their contribution to various aspects of human activity, focusing on their essential role in the adaptability of the priority for action agricultural sector, which appears as considerably vulnerable to the change of considerably susceptible to climate conditions. This article is structured to answer basic questions about climate services in general and to show the specificities of climate services in the agricultural sector.

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Co-design of sectoral climate services based on seasonal prediction information in the Mediterranean

Cited by 6 publications

References 34 publications

Coastal Flood Risk Assessment: An Approach to Accurately Map Flooding through National Registry-Reported Events

Coastal Flood Risk Assessment: An Approach to Accurately Map Flooding through National Registry-Reported Events

Assessing Coastal Flood Risk in a Changing Climate for Dublin, Ireland

A Pathway towards Climate Services for the Agricultural Sector

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