“…One phenomenon unifies all these methods: a leptokurtic dispersal kernel describing patterns of mangrove propagule dispersal (Van der Stocken et al, 2019b), where the number of short-distance dispersal (SDD) events far exceeds the number of long-distance dispersal (LDD) events which occur rarely (see review by Van der Stocken et al, 2019b). Yet, LDD events are crucial; e.g., ancient LDD and vicariance explain contemporary distribution of mangrove genera (e.g., Triest, 2008;Lo et al, 2014;Takayama et al, 2021;Triest and Van der Stocken, 2021;Triest et al, 2021a,c). However, more frequent short distance dispersal events are notable for maintaining the connectivity of populations at regional to fine spatial scales (Ngeve et al, 2017a,b;Triest et al, 2020Triest et al, , 2021a, and contributing to range expansions (Saintilan et al, 2014;Giri and Long, 2016;Kennedy et al, 2020;Triest et al, 2021b).…”