Purpose: We aimed to determine root caries annual incidence (RCAI) and root caries annual progression (RCAP) and risk factors for them among older people requiring nursing care. Methods: The target population comprised 186 dentate individuals aged ≥ 65 years who required nursing care while living in nursing homes (NHs) or their own homes (OHs) in Okayama, Japan. Survey items included presence/absence and severity of root caries, age, sex, living environment (NH or OH), the Clinical Dementia Rating, and the Barthel Index (BI). Baseline surveys were conducted from 2015 to 2017; subjects were followed up for one year. RCAI and RCAP per tooth and per person were calculated, and risk factors for them were identified using generalized estimating equations. Results: In total, 104 individuals (mean age: 82.0 ± 12.4 years) completed the follow-up survey. RCAIs per tooth and per person were 14.6% (173/1188) and 59.6% (62/104), respectively. RCAP per tooth was 22.5% (51/227 teeth with root caries at baseline). Significant risk factors for RCAI were living environment (OH, odds ratio [OR]: 2.14), sex (male, OR: 1.84), clasped tooth (OR: 1.82), and older age (OR: 1.05) at baseline. Significant risk factors for RCAP were sex (male, OR: 5.20), regular dental checkup (OR: 2.74), and high BI score (OR: 1.02) at baseline. Conclusions: At one-year follow-up, 59.6% of the subjects developed at least one root caries. Risk factors for RCAI were living environment (OH), male, clasped tooth, and older age, whereas those for RCAP were male, regular dental checkup, and high BI score.