Combined threats of climate change and land use to boreal protected areas with red-listed forest species in Finland

Määttänen, Aino-Maija; Virkkala, Raimo; Leikola, Niko; Aalto, Juha; Heikkinen, Risto K.

doi:10.1016/j.gecco.2022.e02348

Cited by 7 publications

(4 citation statements)

References 96 publications

Supporting

Mentioning

Contrasting

Order By: Relevance

“…Currently, global climate changes are a very big concern since it is difficult to mitigate the problems involved. Therefore, the findings obtained from the climate models are the results of different trends that can often help long-term sustainability by applying various management plans such as reforestation [53] and species adaptation to climate changes [54]. On the other hand, our results showed the possibility of suitable areas for the spatial distribution of Cinchona spp.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 65%

Current and Future Spatial Distribution of the Genus Cinchona in Peru: Opportunities for Conservation in the Face of Climate Change

Vergara,

Cieza-Tarrillo,

Ocaña

et al. 2023

Sustainability

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

The genus Cinchona belongs to the Rubiaceae family and comprises native Peruvian tree species distributed in tropical areas. It is currently endangered due to human disturbance and overexploitation for medicinal, forestry and food uses. To date, the current and future distribution of Cinchona spp. under the climate change scenario is unknown. Here, we modeled the present and future spatial distribution of the genus Cinchona using bioclimatic, edaphic and topographic variables using the maximum entropy algorithm (MaxEnt). The results indicate that 8.08% (103,547.89 km2) and 6.02% (77,163.81 km2) of the surface of Peru possesses areas with high and moderate distribution probabilities, respectively, to host the genus Cinchona, distributed mainly in the departments of Cusco, Amazonas, San Martín and Cajamarca. Furthermore, according to future climate scenarios, the areas of high suitability will increase their extension for the years 2050 and 2070 by 3.65% and 3.9%, respectively. Since Peru seeks to promote the forest sector to be the other force for its development, this study can be considered as a basis for the establishment of priority zones for the conservation, restoration, reforestation and sustainable management of Cinchona spp. species in Peru.

show abstract

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 65%

Current and Future Spatial Distribution of the Genus Cinchona in Peru: Opportunities for Conservation in the Face of Climate Change

Vergara,

Cieza-Tarrillo,

Ocaña

et al. 2023

Sustainability

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…The SSP370 scenario was found to be the most favorable for the survival of vulnerable maple vegetation in the Tibetan Plateau compared to the other two scenarios. Habitat and climate change can significantly hinder plant conservation [109]. Habitat loss and fragmentation pose significant threats to various species [110].…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Adaptive Distribution and Vulnerability Assessment of Endangered Maple Species on the Tibetan Plateau

Zhang,

Sun,

Zou

et al. 2024

Forests

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Climate change has had an almost irreversible impact on the distribution patterns of tree species on the Tibetan Plateau, driving some vulnerable species to the brink of extinction. Therefore, it is important to assess the vulnerability of tree species in climate-sensitive areas under the following three IPCC-CMIP6 scenarios: SSP126, SSP370, and SSP585. The MaxEnt model was used to predict adaptive distribution for one endangered (Acer wardii W. W. Smith (A. wardii)) and six vulnerable maple plants on the Tibetan Plateau under current and future conditions. We then evaluated their vulnerability using the landscape fragmentation index. Our results showed that the current adaptive areas of vulnerable maple species were mainly distributed in the southeast of the Tibetan Plateau. The dominant factors affecting adaptive areas were temperature annual range (BIO7) for Acer sikkimense Miq. and Acer sterculiaceum Wall.; annual precipitation (BIO12) for Acer cappadocicum Gled.; precipitation of driest month (BIO14) for Acer pectinatum Wall. ex G. Nicholson, Acer taronense Hand.-Mazz., and A. wardii; and subsoil clay fraction (S_CLAY) for Acer campbellii Hook.f. & Thoms. ex Hiern (A. campbellii) Under the three future scenarios, the adaptive areas of maple on the Tibetan Plateau area shifted to the northwest, and habitat suitability increased in the northwestern part of the adaptive areas. In the SSP370 scenario, all seven species showed an increase in adaptive areas, while certain species decreased in some periods under the SSP126 and SSP585 scenarios. The status of the endangered maple species is likely to be even more fragile under the three future scenarios. A. wardii and A. campbellii are more vulnerable and may face extinction, requiring immediate attention and protection. In contrast, the vulnerability of the remaining five species decreased. In conclusion, this study provides recommendations for conserving vulnerable maple species on the Tibetan Plateau. Our data support understanding the distributional changes and vulnerability assessment of these tree species.

show abstract

“…Climate change is projected to cause large scale effects on boreal forests, increasing both biotic and abiotic risks to these environments and their carbon stocks (Gonzalez et al, 2010;Venäläinen et al, 2020). The fine-scale variability in climate i.e., microclimate (horizontal distances < ~50-100 m (Bramer et al, 2018)), is a key in understanding the level of these risks e.g., controlling fire danger via soil and vegetation moisture (e.g., van Wagner, 1974;Venäläinen and Heikinheimo, 2003) and the loss of climatic microrefugia of forest species (Määttänen et al, 2023). However, conventional gridded climate data have coarse spatial resolution ranging from tens to hundreds of kilometers (e.g., ERA5 31×31 km spatial resolution).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Revealing Fine-Scale Variability in Boreal Forest Temperatures Using a Mechanistic Microclimate Model

Kolstela

Aakala²,

Maclean³

et al. 2023

Preprint

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Combined threats of climate change and land use to boreal protected areas with red-listed forest species in Finland

Cited by 7 publications

References 96 publications

Current and Future Spatial Distribution of the Genus Cinchona in Peru: Opportunities for Conservation in the Face of Climate Change

Current and Future Spatial Distribution of the Genus Cinchona in Peru: Opportunities for Conservation in the Face of Climate Change

Adaptive Distribution and Vulnerability Assessment of Endangered Maple Species on the Tibetan Plateau

Revealing Fine-Scale Variability in Boreal Forest Temperatures Using a Mechanistic Microclimate Model

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About