Prevention of heart failure (HF) has a key role in our health care. 1,2 Multivariable prediction models are frequently used to estimate the risk of incident HF. A systematic Bayesian meta-analysis, including 36 studies and 59 models for the prediction of HF, showed their predictive accuracy. However, 77% of model results were at high risk of bias, certainty of evidence was low, and no model had a clinical impact assessment. 3 Monzo et al. 4 investigated the association of aldosterone concentrations with left ventricular (LV) remodelling after acute myocardial infarction (MI) in patients successfully treated by primary percutaneous coronary angioplasty for a first acute ST-elevation MI. LV volumes were measured within 4 days after acute MI using cardiac magnetic resonance and transthoracic echocardiography, 6 months later and, in a subset of cases, 3-9 years later. Aldosterone concentrations were associated with LV remodelling at 6 months, even in patients with an initial LV ejection fraction (LVEF) >40%, but not in the long term follow-up.
Heart failure with preserved ejection fractionRecent data are showing the prognostic significance of LV global longitudinal strain (GLS) for the prediction of HF events. 5,6 Brann et al. 7 assessed GLS in patients with HF and preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF). Among the 311 patients studied, 128 (41%) had normal GLS (>-15.8%) and 183 (59%) had reduced GLS (<-15.8%). After a median follow-up of 4.6 years, patients with reduced GLS had a greater rate of the primary composite endpoint of cardiovascular (CV) mortality or HF hospitalization (hazard ratio 1.74, 95% confidence interval 1.3-2.4) and were more likely to develop LV ejection fraction (LVEF) deterioration.The diagnosis of HFpEF remains challenging. 2,[8][9][10] The detection of a pulmonary capillary wedge pressure (PAWP) ≥25 mmHg during exercise is a diagnostic criterion of HFpEF. 2,11,12 The diagnostic value of other diagnostic procedures is unknown. Wernhart et al.