Comparative Analysis of Reported Deaths Cases Associated with the New Coronavirus COVID-19 Pandemic in the South Caucasus Countries (Armenia, Azerbaijan, Georgia) from March 2020 to May 2022

Abstract

The results of a statistical analysis of daily, total by days of the week and monthly data on officially reported deaths cases from the new coronavirus COVID-19 in the countries of the South Caucasus (Armenia, Azerbaijan, Georgia) from March 12, 2020 to May 31, 2022 are presented. All data are normalized per 1 million populations (mortality rate, hereinafter, this normalization is assumed everywhere). In particular, the following results were obtained. The daily mortality rate in Armenia averaged 3.591 (range: 0-23.622), in Azerbaijan - 1.184 (range: 0-10.969), in Georgia - 5.596 (range: 0-23.189). The total monthly mortality rate in Armenia averaged 107.9 (variability range: 1.01-415.4), in Azerbaijan - 35.6 (variability range: 0.39-122.9), in Georgia - 168.1 (variability range: 0-547.4). A direct linear correlation was observed between the indicated countries in cases of daily and total monthly mortality. An analysis of the intraweek course of mortality showed that in Armenia, on weekdays, the average daily mortality is 4.319, and on weekends - 3.477 (an increase compared to weekends by about 24%); in Azerbaijan, on weekdays and weekends, the average daily mortality is 1.368 and 1.421, respectively (the difference is insignificant); in Georgia on weekdays, the average daily mortality is 7.558, and on weekends - 6.855 (an increase of about 10% compared to weekends).

Results of a Study on the Impact of Surface Ozone Concentration on the Spread of COVID-19 in Tbilisi

“…In the latter case, the level of significance of the relationship SOC and IR values is much higher than for the individual cases. The reason for this (as in for thermal indexes [23][24][25]) may be that often with a small number of tests, overestimated IR values obtained (testing is carried out only for visitors with coronavirus symptoms. When data are averaged these shortcomings are smoothed out.…”

“…Similar work continues in 2022 [11][12][13][14]. Our latest work [15] presents the results of a statistical analysis of daily, total by day of the week and monthly data on officially registered deaths from the new coronavirus COVID-19 in the countries of the South Caucasus (Armenia, Azerbaijan, Georgia). from March 12, 2020 to May 31, 2022 are presented.…”

“…A significant number of papers are devoted to studies of the influence of various meteorological factors (included surface ozone) on the COVID-19 pandemic [15][16][17][18][19][20][21][22][23][24][25][26][27][28][29][30][31].…”

“…In our last papers [23,24] results of a study of the influence of diurnal values of separate components of simple thermal indices (temperature and air relative humidity, wind speed) on the infection positivity rate with coronavirus COVID-19 (IR) of the population of Tbilisi from September 1, 2020 to May 31, 2021 are presented. It was found that IR values are inversely correlated with air temperature and wind speed, and positively correlated with air relative humidity.…”

Two years of Pandemic (Georgian Perspectives)

“…In 2021, the number increased to 11,280, including 5,213 males and 6,067 females. Therefore, the number of COVID-19-related deaths in Georgia was higher in 2021 compared to 2020 by approximately 8,700 people [10].…”