2016
DOI: 10.1002/2016wr018872
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Comparative assessment of three‐phase oil relative permeability models

Abstract: We assess the ability of 11 models to reproduce three‐phase oil relative permeability ( kro) laboratory data obtained in a water‐wet sandstone sample. We do so by considering model performance when (i) solely two‐phase data are employed to render predictions of kro and (ii) two and three‐phase data are jointly used for model calibration. In the latter case, a Maximum Likelihood (ML) approach is used to estimate model parameters. The tested models are selected among (i) classical models routinely employed in p… Show more

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Cited by 17 publications
(9 citation statements)
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“…These results suggest the following: (a) E ( Y | Y * ) and E()|YboldY*±V()|YboldY* are respectively very close to E()|,YboldY*trueM˜k and E()|,YboldY*trueM˜k±V()|,YboldY*trueM˜k when P()|trueM̂kboldY*90% (see Figure ); (b) E ( Y | Y * ) can provide better estimates than E()|,YboldY*trueM˜k when the individual models of the set considered yield very different results (see Figure ); and (c) the KIC‐based Var()|,YboldY*trueM˜k is always smaller than its counterparts based on the other IC considered for a given experiment (see Figures and ). These results are consistent with observations by Ranaee, Riva, Porta, and Guadagnini (), who noted that model‐averaged estimates were virtually coinciding with those associated with the most skilful model in their study when the latter was characterized by P()|trueM̂kboldY*95%. They are also consistent with the results of Winter and Nychka (), who note that a model average can only be more skilful than the model identified as best solely when the individual models in the collection produce very different forecasts.…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…These results suggest the following: (a) E ( Y | Y * ) and E()|YboldY*±V()|YboldY* are respectively very close to E()|,YboldY*trueM˜k and E()|,YboldY*trueM˜k±V()|,YboldY*trueM˜k when P()|trueM̂kboldY*90% (see Figure ); (b) E ( Y | Y * ) can provide better estimates than E()|,YboldY*trueM˜k when the individual models of the set considered yield very different results (see Figure ); and (c) the KIC‐based Var()|,YboldY*trueM˜k is always smaller than its counterparts based on the other IC considered for a given experiment (see Figures and ). These results are consistent with observations by Ranaee, Riva, Porta, and Guadagnini (), who noted that model‐averaged estimates were virtually coinciding with those associated with the most skilful model in their study when the latter was characterized by P()|trueM̂kboldY*95%. They are also consistent with the results of Winter and Nychka (), who note that a model average can only be more skilful than the model identified as best solely when the individual models in the collection produce very different forecasts.…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Caudle et al (1951) were among the first to highlight the impact of hysteresis effects (hereinafter denoted as HEs) on the values of relative permeability of a non-wetting phase. Occurrence of such effects for the non-wetting and the intermediate wetting phases have been documented by a set of experimental (e.g., Oak, 1990;Alizadeh and Piri, 2014a;Moghadasi et al, 2016) and theoretical (e.g., Killough, 1976;Carlson, 1981;Larsen and Skauge, 1998;Blunt, 2000;Shahverdi and Sohrabi, 2013;Kianinejad et al, 2015;Ranaee et al, 2017Ranaee et al, , 2016 studies. The main reasons underpinning the lack of reversibility of the saturation paths observed under three-phase conditions are (i) trapping of the nonwetting phase during imbibition, (ii) remobilization of the intermediate phase through a layer drainage displacement mechanism, and (iii) wettability alteration (change) during drainage and imbibition (Piri and Blunt, 2005;Van Dijke et al, 2006;Suicmez et al, 2007;Sohrabi et al, 2008).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 96%
“…Ranaee et al (2015) develop a sigmoid-based model for the evaluation of HEs on three-phase oil relative permeability. Ranaee et al (2016Ranaee et al ( , 2017 assessed the applicability of such a formulation in comparision with a set of widely used (non-hysteretic) as well as recently developed (hysteretic) models in reproducing oil relative permeability data collected under coreflooding laboratory experiments.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Commercial black-oil simulators (e.g., Schlumberger Geo-Quest, 2010) typically consider k ro as the result of a saturation-weighted interpolation (Baker, 1988) and/or through the Stone (1970Stone ( , 1973 models. Ranaee et al (2016) show that Stone-type models lead to loss of hyperbolic flow behavior (see also Juanes and Patzek, 2004;and Bianchi Janetti et al, 2015 for detailed analyses on this condition) in some ranges of fluid saturations under three-phase conditions. As such, these models do not capture the detailed physics of the three-phase flow in porous systems for some saturation scenarios.…”
Section: Strategy I (S I )mentioning
confidence: 92%
“…Caudle et al (1951) were among the first to highlight the impact of hysteresis effects (hereinafter denoted as HEs) on the values of relative permeability of a non-wetting phase. Occurrence of such effects for the non-wetting and the intermediate wetting phases have been documented by a set of experimental (e.g., Oak, 1990;Kalaydjian et al, 1997;Suicmez et al, 2007;Alizadeh and Piri, 2014a;Chukwudeme et al, 2014;Moghadasi et al, 2016) and theoretical (e.g., Killough, 1976;Carlson, 1981;Larsen and Skauge, 1998;Blunt, 2000;Shahverdi and Sohrabi, 2013;Kianinejad et al, 2015;Ranaee et al, 2015Ranaee et al, , 2016Khorsandi et al, 2018) studies. A complete characterization of HEs for three-phase flow systems is still challenging due to complex pore-scale mechanisms driving fluid displacement.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 98%