Comparison between meteorological data and farmer perceptions of climate change and vulnerability in relation to adaptation

Hasan, Kamrul; Kumar, Lalit

doi:10.1016/j.jenvman.2019.02.028

Cited by 117 publications

(78 citation statements)

References 40 publications

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“…a,b : les valeurs de la même ligne indicées de différentes lettres sont significativement différentes au seuil de 5 %. similaires ont été rapportés par Hasan et Kumar (2019) au Bangladesh, en ce qui concerne la perception de l'augmentation de la température par les éleveurs. Par contre, Cuni-Sanchez et al (2018) ont rapporté que les pasteurs du Mont Nyiro au Kenya n'ont observé aucune modification de la température.…”

Section: Discussionunclassified

Perception du changement climatique par les éleveurs de bovins des zones tropicales sèche et subhumide du Bénin : comparaison avec les données météorologiques

et al. 2020

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Une fausse perception du changement climatique peut entraîner une absence d’adaptation ou une mauvaise adaptation, augmentant ainsi la vulnérabilité à ce changement. Cependant très peu d’études se sont intéressées à cette question, surtout chez les éleveurs. Cette étude compare la perception du changement climatique des éleveurs de bovins des zones tropicales sèche et subhumide du Bénin avec les données climatiques des 40 dernières années. À cet effet, 360 éleveurs de bovins ont été interrogés dans ces zones. Les données collectées sont relatives aux caractéristiques sociodémographiques des éleveurs, ainsi qu’à leur perception du changement climatique. Les données climatiques couvrant la période 1976–2015 ont été collectées dans les stations météorologiques les plus proches de chaque zone d’étude. Les données d’enquête ont été soumises aux analyses fréquentielles et les données climatiques aux anomalies standardisées. Les résultats montrent que plus de 70 % des éleveurs des deux zones d’étude ont perçu une installation plus tardive de la saison pluvieuse, ainsi qu’une augmentation de la température et de la durée des poches de sécheresse, ce qui correspond aux données climatiques. Par contre, il existe un décalage entre les données climatiques et les perceptions des éleveurs, pour lesquels la pluviométrie aurait diminué et la saison des pluies se terminerait plus tôt. Cette étude permet de conclure que l’intégration d’indicateurs du changement perçus par les éleveurs serait pertinente pour élaborer des stratégies d’adaptation au changement climatique appropriées, consensuelles et durables, en facilitant la compréhension et la concertation entre éleveurs et scientifiques.

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Section: Discussionunclassified

Perception du changement climatique par les éleveurs de bovins des zones tropicales sèche et subhumide du Bénin : comparaison avec les données météorologiques

et al. 2020

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“…The role of climate risk perception in CC adaptation has received considerable attention. A study in Bangladesh showed that farmer perceptions of CC are mostly aligned with observed meteorological data and are correlated positively with the rate of adopted adaptation practices [15]. Similarly, a study in French coastal populations showed that they perceive the local changes in climate, weather, coral, and beaches, but they only regard it as a problem instead of a danger [41].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 94%

“…A farmer's perception of climate risk is essential because it represents the degree of perceived impact (P-I)-a measure of how a farmer personally feels about the impact of a particular occurrence [12,13]. Past exposure to climate-related disaster increases the degree of P-I, which in turn drives farmers to undertake adaptation actions [14,15]. While some studies stressed the benefits of autonomous adaptation, other studies reported that it ultimately results in unintended maladaptive outcomes, such as increasing the farmer's vulnerability to CC, shifting the vulnerability to other stakeholders or sectors, and decreasing the quality of common pooled resources [16][17][18][19].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Assessing the Role of the Perceived Impact of Climate Change on National Adaptation Policy: The Case of Rice Farming in Indonesia

Rondhi

Khasan

Mori

et al. 2019

Land

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Climate change (CC) is one of the primary threats to the agricultural sector in developing countries. Several empirical studies have shown that the implementation of adaptation practices can reduce the adverse effects of CC. The likelihood of farmers performing adaptation practices is mostly influenced by the degree of CC impact that they perceive. Thus, we identified the characteristics of farmers that affect the degree of the CC impact that they perceive. We used data from the Indonesian Rice Farm Household survey consisting of 87,330 farmers. An ordered probit regression model was used to estimate the effect of each variable on the degree of the perceived impact of CC. The results of this study confirm those of previous empirical studies. Several variables that have been identified as having a positive effect on farmer adaptation practices, such as farmer education, land tenure, irrigation infrastructure, cropping system, chemical fertilizer application, access to extension services, and participation in farmer groups, negatively affect the degree of the perceived impact of CC. However, a different result was found in the estimation of the gender variable. We found that female farmers have a higher CC resilience and ability to withstand climatic shocks and risks than male farmers. Female farmers have a more positive perception of future farming conditions than male farmers. We recommend the implementation of a national adaptation policy that use and expand the channel of agricultural extension services to deliver the planned adaptation policy, and prioritizes farmers with insecure land tenure. Additionally, we encourage the increasing of female involvement in the CC adaptation practices and decision-making processes.

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“…The identification of the micro patterns of changes in climate variables is not sufficient to address climate problems. Farmers' perceptions of changes in climate variables is also important for climate risk management and agricultural adaptation [17][18][19]. The way farmers respond to climate change and variability (CCV) depends on how they perceive the problems.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Trends of Climate Change and Variability in Three Agro-Ecological Settings in Central Ethiopia: Contrasts of Meteorological Data and Farmers’ Perceptions

Etana

Snelder

Wesenbeeck

et al. 2020

Climate

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Using gridded daily temperature and rainfall data covering 30 years (1988–2017), this study investigates trends in rainfall, temperature, and extreme events in three agro-ecological settings in central Ethiopia. The Mann Kendall test and Sen’s slope estimator were used to examine the trends and slope of changes in climate indices. The profile of farmers whose perception converges with or diverges from meteorological data was characterized using polling. The average annual temperature has increased by 0.4 and 0.3 °C per decade in the lowland and midland areas, respectively. Average annual rainfall has increased only in the midland areas by 178 mm per decade. Farmers’ perception of increasing temperature fairly aligns with meteorological data. However, there is a noticeable difference between farmers’ perception of rainfall and meteorological data. The perception of farmers with poor economic status, access to media, and higher social capital aligns with measured trends. Conversely, the perception of economically better-off and uneducated farmers diverges from meteorological data. Accurate perception is constrained by the failure of the traditional forecast methods to describe complex weather variabilities and lack of access to down-scaled weather information. The findings highlight the importance of availing specific and agro-ecologically relevant weather forecasts to overcome perceptual problems and to support effective adaptation.

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Comparison between meteorological data and farmer perceptions of climate change and vulnerability in relation to adaptation

Cited by 117 publications

References 40 publications

Perception du changement climatique par les éleveurs de bovins des zones tropicales sèche et subhumide du Bénin : comparaison avec les données météorologiques

Perception du changement climatique par les éleveurs de bovins des zones tropicales sèche et subhumide du Bénin : comparaison avec les données météorologiques

Assessing the Role of the Perceived Impact of Climate Change on National Adaptation Policy: The Case of Rice Farming in Indonesia

Trends of Climate Change and Variability in Three Agro-Ecological Settings in Central Ethiopia: Contrasts of Meteorological Data and Farmers’ Perceptions

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