The concept of progressive pulmonary fibrosis (PPF) has been introduced to predict the diverse prognosis of interstitial lung disease (ILD). However, the incidence and effect of PPF on outcomes in patients with connective tissue disease-associated interstitial lung disease (CTD-ILD) need to be elucidated. This study reviewed 197 patients with CTD-ILD. Symptomatic worsening, pulmonary function decline, and radiological deterioration were investigated to assess the fulfillment of PPF diagnostic criteria. Clinical outcomes, including mortality, were compared based on the presence or absence of PPF. The median follow-up duration was 17.4 months. The mean age of the patients was 64.0 years, and 60.9% were female. Among the underlying CTDs, rheumatoid arthritis (42.1%), inflammatory myositis (19.8%), and systemic sclerosis (13.2%) were the most common. Of the 197 patients, 37 (18.8%) met the diagnostic criteria for PPF during the follow-up period. Even after adjusting for other significant risk factors, PPF was independently associated with mortality [hazard ratio (HR) 3.856; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.387–10.715; P = 0.010] and baseline albumin was marginally significantly associated with mortality (HR 0.549; CI 0.298–1.010; P = 0.054). The median survival was also significantly shorter in the PPF group than in the non-PPF group (72.3 ± 12.9 vs. 126.8 ± 15.5 months, P < 0.001). Baseline KL-6 ≥ 1000 (U/mL) was a significant risk factor for PPF (HR 2.885; CI 1.165–7.144; P = 0.022). In addition to increased mortality, the PPF group had significantly higher rates of respiratory-related hospitalizations, pneumonia, acute exacerbations, and weight loss than the non-PPF group. PPF is a significant prognostic indicator in patients with CTD-ILD. Thus, healthcare professionals should know that patients with CTD-ILD are at risk of PPF.