Complexity Theory, Spatial Planning and Adaptation to Climate Change

Timmermans, W.; López, Francisco J. Onega; Roggema, Rob

doi:10.1007/978-94-007-4378-6_3

Cited by 7 publications

(12 citation statements)

References 53 publications

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“…Traditional land use planning has been used as a control mechanism for ensuring certainty by "attempting to exclude instability and non-linearity as much as possible" (Timmermans et al [50]). However, spatial planning offers significant potential for integrating natural and human system interactions and dealing with scale and subsystems.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Rather, it emerges as "mitigation" or "adaptive" planning which has also been referred to as 'swarm' planning. This concept of spatial planning represents an adaptive response to uncertainty that uses warning signs to anticipate uncertainty (Timmermans et al [50]). A specific example of this approach is the "floodable landscape" of the Eemsdelta region in The Netherlands (Roggema [53]).…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Identifying social-ecological couplings for regional sustainability in a rapidly urbanizing water-limited area of western Canada

Tyler

Quinn

2013

WIT Transactions on Ecology and the Environment

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Regional planning for sustainability is predicated on an ability to create and maintain resilient social-ecological systems that are adaptable in the face of surprise and change. One of the central challenges is to understand, articulate and manage the connections between social systems and the physical environment. Over the last fifty years economic 'booms' associated with abundant oil and gas resources have driven rapid regional population growth and large scale landscape change in the Calgary region. However, the region is a semi-arid and temperate area where growth-related land use planning is quite literally water dependent. Climate change modeling suggests even warmer and drier conditions in the region making the critical relationship between land-use and water increasingly acute. A voluntary regional partnership of local municipal governments has emerged over the past six years to address common land use planning concerns emerging from the rapid anthropogenic and natural changes affecting the region. In this paper we explore some of the critical socialecological couplings that have emerged as drivers for sustainability and resilience in the Calgary region of southwestern Alberta, Canada. We posit critical social-ecological and spatial couplings involving: 1) the intersection of built infrastructure (transportation, irrigation and utility corridors) and ecological infrastructure (landscape connectivity), and 2) regional ecohydrology and human water use.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Identifying social-ecological couplings for regional sustainability in a rapidly urbanizing water-limited area of western Canada

Tyler

Quinn

2013

WIT Transactions on Ecology and the Environment

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“…2 has been developed based on the works of Prigogine [6] in chemistry and physics and Geldof [19] in water management [1]. As stated, the Complexity Theory ideas originally stem from chemistry and physics, but we adopted the Prigogine graph to build a model to understand complex land-use planning processes [1][2][3][4]. The use of the graph is common in transition [67] and innovation literature [33,34] and is used increasingly in land-use planning literature [58,68].…”

Section: Methodology and Craailo Bridgementioning

confidence: 99%

“…In earlier articles [1][2][3][4], it was concluded that the outcome of complex land-use planning processes can be highly uncertain. Steady and balanced planning processes were described, along with the impact of pressure from new societal events and ideas.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Artificial Green Corridors Crossing Large Infrastructure in Metropolitan Areas

Timmermans¹,

Cilliers²,

Kuypers³

2015

Land Use Management and Transportation Planning

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Metropolitan areas have a growing need for better connections with inter-urban green areas, which are better dissected by large infrastructure networks. This chapter analyses the planning process of the green Craailo bridge in the Netherlands, the world's largest artifi cial and a very expensive nature bridge. The planning process appears to have been far from linear. In fact, many incidents, sudden changes and unexpected opportunities were evident during the planning process, not described in common planning literature. The complexity perspective and planning process of the Craailo bridge were analysed based on several policy documents that were scrutinised, along with 19 interviews conducted with key players. A new perspective on highly complex planning processes in the spatial planning practice was introduced as a fi nal result of this research.

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“…The sudden unexpected change from one attractor into another, as well as aspects of dealing with the uncertainty of possible unexpected change, have been thoroughly examined. Although spatial planning is deeply rooted in a control paradigm [37], the outcome of a planning process can differ greatly from the intended outcome. Hence, the results can be highly surprising and spatial planning intrinsically has to deal with uncertainty and fuzziness [38][39][40][41].…”

Section: The City As An (Eco)systemmentioning

confidence: 99%

Towards Enhanced Resilience in City Design: A Proposition

Roggema

2014

Land

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When we use the urban metabolism model for urban development, the input in the model is often valuable landscape, being the resource of the development, and output in the form of urban sprawl, as a result of city transformations. The resilience of these "output" areas is low. The lack of resilience is mainly caused by the inflexibility in these areas where existing buildings, infrastructure, and public space cannot be moved when deemed necessary. In this article, a new vision for the city is proposed in which the locations of these objects are flexible and, as a result, the resilience is higher: a Dismantable City. Currently, the development of this sort of city is constrained by technical, social, and regulatory practice. However, the perspective of a Dismantable City is worthwhile because it is able to deal with sudden, surprising, and unprecedented climate impacts. Through self-organizing processes the city becomes adjustable and its objects mobile. This allows the city to configure itself according to environmental demands. The city is then able to withstand or even anticipate floods, heat waves, droughts, or bushfires. Adjustability can be found in several directions: creating multiple layers for urban activities (multi-layer urbanism), easing the way objects are constructed (light urbanism), or re-using abandoned spaces (transformable urbanism).

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Complexity Theory, Spatial Planning and Adaptation to Climate Change

Cited by 7 publications

References 53 publications

Identifying social-ecological couplings for regional sustainability in a rapidly urbanizing water-limited area of western Canada

Identifying social-ecological couplings for regional sustainability in a rapidly urbanizing water-limited area of western Canada

Artificial Green Corridors Crossing Large Infrastructure in Metropolitan Areas

Towards Enhanced Resilience in City Design: A Proposition

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