Comprehensive Integrity Assessment of Carbon Steel Feeder Pipes/Elbows Subject to Wall Thinning

Duan, Xinjian; Kozluk, Michael J.; Li, Ming

doi:10.1115/pvp2009-77060

“…FAC is a type of steel corrosion exacerbated by coolant flow in feeder pipes at high velocities and temperatures. Factors known to affect the rate of FAC include mass transfer, coolant flow velocity, pipe material composition in terms of chromium content, stress levels such as temperature and pressure, bend angle, coolant pH and oxidizing species (Duan et al 2009;Chung 2010;Lee et. al.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Probabilistic Modelling of Spatio-Temporal Uncertainties in Degradation

Adegbola¹,

Yuan²

2022

Preprint

0

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Deterioration is a major problem facing engineering structures, systems and components (SSCs). To maintain the structural integrity and safe operation of such SSCs all through their service life, it is important to understand how degradation phenomena progress over time and space. Hence degradation modelling has been increasingly used to model existing deterioration, predict future deterioration as well as provide input for infrastructure management in terms of inspection and maintenance decision making. As deterioration is known to be random, modelling of spatial and temporal uncertainty remains a crucial challenge for infrastructure asset professionals. The main objective of the thesis is to develop sophisticated models for characterizing spatial and temporal uncertainties in deterioration modelling with a view to enhancing decision making under uncertainty. The thesis proposes a two-dimensional copula-based gamma distributed random field for the spatial uncertainties, and a copula-based multivariate gamma process model to characterize stochastic dependence of multiple degradation phenomena. Techniques for estimating the model parameters and simulating the field or process, prediction of the remaining lifetime distribution as well as condition-based maintenance optimization are also presented. To study the extreme value distribution of the random field, the thesis also presents a numerical method based on the Karhunen-Loève expansion for evaluating extrema of both one- and two-dimensional homogeneous random fields. The simulation results are benchmarked against existing analytical models for special cases. In addition, the study also investigates the effect of parameter (epistemic) uncertainty on the extreme value distribution of the field. Finally, the thesis presents a practical application of the proposed copula-based gamma field by treating the wall profile of a feeder pipe as one- and twodimensional gamma fields. The thesis demonstrates a practical application of the multivariate gamma process model to rutting, cracking, and surface roughness of highway pavements. In summary, the proposed models have advanced the knowledge and techniques of stochastic deterioration modelling in the engineering field.

show abstract

“…FAC is a type of steel corrosion exacerbated by coolant flow in feeder pipes at high velocities and temperatures. Factors known to affect the rate of FAC include mass transfer, coolant flow velocity, pipe material composition in terms of chromium content, stress levels such as temperature and pressure, bend angle, coolant pH and oxidizing species (Duan et al 2009;Chung 2010;Lee et. al.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Probabilistic Modelling of Spatio-Temporal Uncertainties in Degradation

Adegbola¹,

Yuan²

2022

Preprint

0

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Deterioration is a major problem facing engineering structures, systems and components (SSCs). To maintain the structural integrity and safe operation of such SSCs all through their service life, it is important to understand how degradation phenomena progress over time and space. Hence degradation modelling has been increasingly used to model existing deterioration, predict future deterioration as well as provide input for infrastructure management in terms of inspection and maintenance decision making. As deterioration is known to be random, modelling of spatial and temporal uncertainty remains a crucial challenge for infrastructure asset professionals. The main objective of the thesis is to develop sophisticated models for characterizing spatial and temporal uncertainties in deterioration modelling with a view to enhancing decision making under uncertainty. The thesis proposes a two-dimensional copula-based gamma distributed random field for the spatial uncertainties, and a copula-based multivariate gamma process model to characterize stochastic dependence of multiple degradation phenomena. Techniques for estimating the model parameters and simulating the field or process, prediction of the remaining lifetime distribution as well as condition-based maintenance optimization are also presented. To study the extreme value distribution of the random field, the thesis also presents a numerical method based on the Karhunen-Loève expansion for evaluating extrema of both one- and two-dimensional homogeneous random fields. The simulation results are benchmarked against existing analytical models for special cases. In addition, the study also investigates the effect of parameter (epistemic) uncertainty on the extreme value distribution of the field. Finally, the thesis presents a practical application of the proposed copula-based gamma field by treating the wall profile of a feeder pipe as one- and twodimensional gamma fields. The thesis demonstrates a practical application of the multivariate gamma process model to rutting, cracking, and surface roughness of highway pavements. In summary, the proposed models have advanced the knowledge and techniques of stochastic deterioration modelling in the engineering field.

show abstract

“…Carbon Steel metallic pipes especially fro m the 2'', and 4' over a total of 10 pieces including pipes with 1 or up to 3 rapture due to corrosion and analy zed in a way that shows exposure to rapture. [2]it is possible to determine the critical th ickness. However, this value is nearly raptured that expressed close to zero p ractical values are more important to us than formu las.…”

Section: 1reduction Of Flow Accelarated Corrosionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…4. Fracturing occur when material's Von Mises tension exceeded tensile strength specified standards of ASME 2007 [9], Duan [2] also base on this approach in his work. Actual tensile strength is greater than the value specified in the standard.…”

Section: Pre-assessmentmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…There are certian Outage Problems arrise wh ile Corrosion defects totally effect the process. Wang [1] and Duan [2] reported thatsimulat ion program showing the estimate usefull life of these basic Carbon Stell pipes. If it can be managed and adopted to this formu lation to our old, e xperienced Plant, it will defin itely get real values Corrosion life of pipes as Co mpared with the Duan Simu lation formu la [2].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

See 1 more Smart Citation