2011
DOI: 10.4061/2011/261702
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Compression of Morbidity 1980–2011: A Focused Review of Paradigms and Progress

Abstract: The Compression of Morbidity hypothesis—positing that the age of onset of chronic illness may be postponed more than the age at death and squeezing most of the morbidity in life into a shorter period with less lifetime disability—was introduced by our group in 1980. This paper is focused upon the evolution of the concept, the controversies and responses, the supportive multidisciplinary science, and the evolving lines of evidence that establish proof of concept. We summarize data from 20-year prospective longi… Show more

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Cited by 243 publications
(193 citation statements)
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References 49 publications
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“…Currently, there is no conclusive evidence on whether people will age in good or bad health in the future (Bonneux et al, 2012;Lafortune G et al, 2007;Manton 2008). The large baby boom cohorts will push up social services spending, but the extent and amount of such spending growth will depend on whether or not there will be a compression of morbidity and disability in the elderly (Fries et al, 2011;European Commission, 2012;DG ECFIN, 2006;Manton et al, 2007;Spillman, 2004). This means investing now in health policy efforts focused on children, youth and adults to enjoy a longer life expectancy in good health (European Commission, 2007).…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Currently, there is no conclusive evidence on whether people will age in good or bad health in the future (Bonneux et al, 2012;Lafortune G et al, 2007;Manton 2008). The large baby boom cohorts will push up social services spending, but the extent and amount of such spending growth will depend on whether or not there will be a compression of morbidity and disability in the elderly (Fries et al, 2011;European Commission, 2012;DG ECFIN, 2006;Manton et al, 2007;Spillman, 2004). This means investing now in health policy efforts focused on children, youth and adults to enjoy a longer life expectancy in good health (European Commission, 2007).…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Theorists have suggested a number of ways in which quality of life and wellbeing can be promoted in order to address the changing needs of ageing populations and older individuals. The compression of morbidity hypothesis proposes the objective to decrease the years of illness relative to the life span, the so-called 'squaring' of one's functioning trajectory (Fries, 1989;Fries et al 2011).…”
Section: Adding Life To Yearsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Global health surveys, cohort studies, and national registries have provided controversial evidence, supporting not only compression of morbidity but also its expansion ( Fig. 1) (Beltran-Sanchez et al 2014;Fries et al 2011). Additional evidence supports the view of dynamic equilibrium (Manton 1982) in which changes in the severity and progression of disability and/or functional limitation (FL/D) have appeared to keep pace with mortality changes, so that the progression of FL/D seemed to be halted at early stages, resulting in potentially more FL/D in the population but with decreased consequences (Chatterji et al 2015).…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%