Concentration of personal and household crimes in England and Wales

Abstract

Crime is disproportionally concentrated in few areas. Though long-established, there remains uncertainty about the reasons for variation in the concentration of similar crime (repeats) or different crime (multiples). Wholly neglected have been composite crimes when more than one crime types coincide as parts of a single event. The research reported here disentangles area crime concentration into repeats, multiple and composite crimes. The results are based on estimated bivariate zero-inflated Poisson regression models with covariance structure which explicitly account for crime rarity and crime concentration. The implications of the results for criminological theorizing and as a possible basis for more equitable police funding are discussed.

On whom does the burden of crime fall now? Changes over time in counts and concentration

“…It is probably coincidental that the initial decline coincided with the time when the prevention of repeat victimisation was a tactic in vogue and supported by central government (Pease, 1998 The next step in the present paper addresses the question of whether the attributes of heavily victimised households remain similar across time. There is already a substantial literature on attributes associated with crime victimisation (Kershaw and Tseloni, 2005;Osborn and Tseloni, 1998;Tseloni, 2006;Tseloni et al, 2010), but these tend to be analyses at single points in time. In our earlier paper (Ignatans and Pease, 2015) it was found that this was the case for total crime.…”

Choosing and Using Statistical Sources in Criminology: What Can the Crime Survey for England and Wales Tell Us?

“…The escalation or not of crime seriousness during the same incident in composite crimes (Tseloni et al 2010a) is another area worth exploring. It is important for crime prevention and harm reduction as demonstrated in the ample literature on situational risk and preventive factors for crime completion (versus attempt), seriousness and likelihood of injury.…”

Area and individual differences in personal crime victimization incidence

“…those examining only area predictors , yield parallel results. Personal crimes were found to be positively associated with the percentage of single-adult households (Osborn et al, 1992; Kershaw and Tseloni, 2005), family disruption (Sampson and Groves, 1989; Tseloni et al, 2010), unsupervised peer groups, poor organizational participation (Sampson and Groves, 1989), residential mobility, population density and material deprivation (Bellair and Browning, 2011; Kershaw and Tseloni, 2005; Tseloni et al, 2010).…”