2014
DOI: 10.1051/proc/201444009
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Confidence intervals for annual wind power production

Abstract: Abstract.Wind power is an intermittent resource due to wind speed intermittency. However wind speed can be described as a stochastic process with short memory. This allows us to derive a central limit theorem for the annual or pluri-annual wind power production and then get quantiles of the wind power production for one, ten or twenty years future periods. On the one hand, the interquantile spread offers a measurement of the intrinsic uncertainties of wind power production. On the other hand, different quantil… Show more

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“…1937). In (Alain Bensoussan et al 2014), confidence intervals for annual wind power productions defined whereas in (Breno Menezes.2014), confidence intervals for reservoir computing's wind power generation applied. The datasets recorded in the form of SCADA datasets are considered as noisy hence GP estimates of confidence do not include this, but the model does separately estimate the magnitude of the associated uncertainty.…”
Section: = ±mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…1937). In (Alain Bensoussan et al 2014), confidence intervals for annual wind power productions defined whereas in (Breno Menezes.2014), confidence intervals for reservoir computing's wind power generation applied. The datasets recorded in the form of SCADA datasets are considered as noisy hence GP estimates of confidence do not include this, but the model does separately estimate the magnitude of the associated uncertainty.…”
Section: = ±mentioning
confidence: 99%