VCPR Victorian Cerebral Palsy RegisterAIM The aim of this study was to assess overall and gestational age-specific trends in the rate of cerebral palsy (CP) in Victoria, Australia, and to compare these findings with other population data.METHOD Individuals born in Victoria from 1970 to 2004 with non-postneonatally acquired CP were identified from a population register; 3491 were included in the study (1963 males, 1528 females). After a literature review, comparison data were extracted from publications using previously devised inclusion criteria. Rates were calculated per 1000 live births for all CP and by gestational age group: these were tabulated and plotted by year of birth.RESULTS Data from nine registries, including the Victorian register, showed an increase in the rates of CP over the 1970s and 1980s, consistently seen in extremely preterm (<28wks) survivors but also in those born at term ( ‡37wks). Since the early 1990s, CP rates either stabilized or decreased, particularly for children born extremely preterm.INTERPRETATION Increases in the rates of CP during the 1970s and 1980s are in part because of the increasing survival of extremely preterm infants that occurred without a concomitant improvement in neurological outcomes. Evidence from population samples now suggests that this trend has been reversed since the mid-to late 1990s.Much information can be gained from monitoring trends in the rates of cerebral palsy (CP), not only for service provision, but also for what can be learnt about aetiology. Through monitoring trends we may uncover previously unknown associations or risk factors, and we can monitor changes over time in the effects of known antecedents or interventions.We have already learnt important lessons about the aetiology of CP through population surveillance. Although it is now more widely accepted that most cases of CP are the result of many interacting factors, previously the belief was that most CP was caused by birth trauma or intrapartum asphyxia. Efforts to reduce the incidence of CP were largely aimed at decreasing complications during labour and delivery. High hopes were held that the advent of continuous fetal heart monitoring during the 1960s and 1970s would reduce the incidence of hypoxic or ischaemic brain injury through the early detection of signs of fetal distress and intervention in the form of emergency Caesarean section. As a result of this approach, emergency Caesarean rates increased dramatically and fetal deaths during labour decreased, but the expected improvement in CP rates did not eventuate. [1][2][3] Further research suggested that only a small proportion of CP in developed countries was the result of preventable intrapartum events. 4 The aetiology of CP began to be seen more in terms of causal pathways frequently originating in the pre-conception or antenatal periods.
5Monitoring population trends in CP is not an easy task and few groups are in a position to make reliable assessments of trends over time. Most monitoring is carried out by geographically define...