Constraining DALEC v2 using multiple data streams and ecological constraints: analysis and application

Abstract

Abstract. We use a variational method to assimilate multiple data streams into the terrestrial ecosystem carbon cycle model DALECv2. Ecological and dynamical constraints have recently been introduced to constrain unresolved components of this otherwise ill-posed problem. Here we recast these constraints as a multivariate Gaussian distribution to incorporate them into the variational framework and we demonstrate their benefit through a linear analysis. Using an adjoint method we study a linear approximation of the inverse problem: firstly we perform a sensitivity analysis of the different outputs under consideration, and secondly we use the concept of resolution matrices to diagnose the nature of the ill-posedness and evaluate regularisation strategies. We then study the non linear problem with an application to real data. Finally, we propose a modification to the model: introducing a spin-up period provides us with a built-in formulation of some ecological constraints which facilitates the variational approach.

A Method for Generating Coherent Spatially Explicit Maps of Seasonal Paleoclimates From Site‐Based Reconstructions

“…Specifically, by solving the full variational problem we take into account nonlinearities in the system. Furthermore we minimise the dependency of the final analytical reconstructions on the prior generated from the climate models by using a prescribed correlation function for the error of the prior and by using a resolution matrix (Delahaies, Roulstone, & Nichols, 2017;Menke, 2012) to determine the temporal correlation length scale. The resolution matrix provides a particularly useful way to overcome problems caused by the sparsity of site-based palaeoclimate reconstructions at the…”