Construction Land Transfer Scale and Carbon Emission Intensity: Empirical Evidence Based on County-Level Land Transactions in Jiangsu Province, China

Abstract

The expansion of the construction land scale has been vital in supporting rapid economic development and meeting social needs. However, the spatial heterogeneity in the effect of construction land scale on carbon emission intensity at the county level remains underexplored. Therefore, comprehensively investigating the relation between the construction land transfer scale and carbon emission intensity holds substantial research value. Using panel data from 2007 to 2021, this study analyzes the spatiotemporal differentiation characteristics of carbon emission intensity and the effect of construction land scale on carbon emission intensity at the county level in Jiangsu Province, China. The findings reveal that carbon emission intensity at the county level in Jiangsu Province generally exhibits a continuous downward trend over time and a spatial distribution characterized by a gradual decrease from the southern counties to the central and northern counties. Moreover, there is a significant positive relation between the construction land transfer scale and carbon emission intensity, a conclusion supported by robustness tests. Furthermore, mediating analysis indicates that reduction of the construction land transfer scale exhibits a significant promoting effect on green technology innovation and industrial structure upgrading, which, in turn, has a significant inhibitory effect on carbon emission intensity. The impact of the construction land transfer scale from different sources, supply methods, types, and of county economic strength on carbon emission intensity has significant heterogeneity.