Contested Killings: The Mobilizing Effects of Community Contact with Police Violence

Abstract

Recently, we have witnessed the politicizing effects of police killings in the United States. This project asks how such killings might (de)mobilize voters at the local level. We draw on multiple theoretical approaches to develop a theory of community contact with the police. We argue that when a highly visible event tied to government actions occurs—like a police killing—it can spur turnout. This is especially true where public narratives tie such events to government and structural causes. By comparing neighborhoods near a killing before and after election day, we estimate the causal effect on turnout. We find a mobilizing effect. These effects are larger when they “trend” on Google, occur in Black communities, or if the victim is Black. Proximity to a killing also increases support for abolishing the police. We conclude that police violence increases electoral participation in communities where narratives about racially unjust policing resonate most.

Felon re-enfranchisement, race, and arrests

“…We look at the impact of police violence. This test is motivated by Ang and Tebes (2023) and Morris and Shoub (2023), who find that exposure to police violence leads to a significant increase in political participation, especially by minorities. We use data from the mapping of police violence website that records all killings of civilians by police forces.…”