Contextual-level unemployment and support for radical-right parties: a meta-analysis

Sipma, Take; Lubbers, Marcel

doi:10.1057/s41269-018-0120-2

Cited by 24 publications

(11 citation statements)

References 83 publications

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“…5 We also add the share of residents with a university degree in the respondent’s home IRIS. This allows us to control for possible contextual effects which have been linked in the previous literature to radical right support, such as unemployment (Sipma & Lubbers, 2020) and education (Van Wijk et al, 2019). More specifically, it also allows us to check if—in addition to the halo effect—there is evidence of independent contextual effects from immigration.…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Contextual Effects of Immigrant Presence on Populist Radical Right Support: Testing the “Halo Effect” on Front National Voting in France

Evans

Ivaldi

2020

Comparative Political Studies

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This paper examines the relationship between immigration and populist radical right (PRR) support, based on an analysis of the contextual effects of immigrant presence on Front National vote in France in 2017. Using a unique set of survey data geolocalising respondents at the subcommunal level, it finds evidence for the existence of a curvilinear “halo effect,” with substantial increases in the probability of PRR vote in areas surrounding communities with significantly higher-than-average immigrant populations, and independent of other socio-economic context, as well as individual socio-demographic characteristics. Most importantly, a path analysis confirms the presence of individual attitudinal mediators of this halo effect on PRR vote, thus testing the foundation of the halo, namely that the contextual effects of immigrant presence act on attitudes which drive PRR support. These findings provide a significant step forward in understanding the mechanisms linking subjective experience of immigration with voting for the populist radical right.

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Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Contextual Effects of Immigrant Presence on Populist Radical Right Support: Testing the “Halo Effect” on Front National Voting in France

Evans

Ivaldi

2020

Comparative Political Studies

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“…For instance, a recent meta-analysis found that out of a total of 291 tests of the association between immigration shares and far-right voting at the sub-national level, 36% of the analyses report a positive effect, 14% a negative effect, while the rest of the studies find no association (Amengay and Stockemer 2018). A similar meta-analysis found that the effect of unemployment on support for the far right was also inconsistent across studies (Sipma and Lubbers 2018).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Residential Context and Voting for the Far Right: The Impact of Immigration and Unemployment on the 2017 French Presidential Election

2021

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The assumption that increasing diversity and economic hardship boost support for the far right is widespread, yet extant research comes up with contradictory findings. This article investigates the link between context and the far right by investigating the impact of immigration and unemployment on voting for Marine Le Pen in the first round of the 2017 French Presidential election. We match a large individual-level survey with contextual variables constructed from the census describing voters’ residential environments. Unlike previous studies, we measure immigration and unemployment at the neighborhood level and the broader level of the department. Using a multilevel model, we find that voters in neighborhoods with high levels of immigration are less likely to vote for the far right. However, in departments, increased immigration and unemployment correlate with greater support for Le Pen. These findings suggest that contact theory and ethnic threat operate differently according to spatial scale.

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“…However, in recent decades, it has also been suggested that the shifting of political conflicts toward, for example, an emphasis on environmental issues and immigration has established a political cleavage among the new political parties, namely the Right-Wing populists, the Greens, and the so called New-Left or eco-socialist parties (Arter, 2012;Kriesi, 2010;Norris & Inglehart, 2019;Oesch, 2012). Particularly in the Nordic countries, macroeconomic factors, such as employment, do not entirely explain the popularity of Right-Wing populist parties (Sipma & Lubbers, 2018) or the social correlates of political party preferences (Koivula, 2019). This is also a central argument for why we should examine party preference as a separate element apart from the social position.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

How do social class position and party preference influence support for fossil fuel taxation in Nordic countries?

Sivonen

Koivula

2020

The Social Science Journal

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In this paper, we study the influence of the social class and political party preference on support for fossil fuel taxation in Nordic countries. Additionally, we examine how age confounds the relationship between party preference and support for fossil fuel taxation. We utilize Round 8 data from the European Social Survey from Finland, Norway, and Sweden (n = 5021). According to the results, party preference was a more significant factor than social class when explaining citizens' fossil fuel taxation attitudes. We found attitudinal polarization between Left-Green and Populist Right supporters. Interestingly, we did not find differences between the parties from the traditional left-right dimension. Also, we found that differences between the Left-Green and Populist Right supporters were more remarkable among the younger cohorts in Sweden. We conclude with a discussion on interconnectivity between new political cleavages and climate policy, which direct the attitudes of a citizen by party preference in particular.

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Contextual-level unemployment and support for radical-right parties: a meta-analysis

Abstract: Contextual-level unemployment and support for radical-right parties: a meta-analysis Sipma, T.; Lubbers, M.

Cited by 24 publications

References 83 publications

Contextual Effects of Immigrant Presence on Populist Radical Right Support: Testing the “Halo Effect” on Front National Voting in France

Contextual Effects of Immigrant Presence on Populist Radical Right Support: Testing the “Halo Effect” on Front National Voting in France

Residential Context and Voting for the Far Right: The Impact of Immigration and Unemployment on the 2017 French Presidential Election

How do social class position and party preference influence support for fossil fuel taxation in Nordic countries?

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