Contribution and projections of corn food needs: Emperical evidence in Kutai Kartanegara Regency, Indonesia

Abstract

This research aims to analyze the contribution and projection of corn food needs. Case study in Kutai Kartanegara Regency, Indonesia. The data used is secondary data sourced from the Kutai Kartanegara Regency Agriculture and Livestock Service and the Central Statistics Agency. The analytical tools used are for sub-district contributions in meeting corn food needs using cross-table analysis, for projections using simple regression analysis, and for projections of needs through population growth using geometric population growth rates. The research results show that the difference between production and corn needs without the National Capital of the Archipelago (IKN), or with the presence of IKN, is a surplus. The contribution of Kutai Kartanegara Regency in meeting the needs of IKN corn, both assuming a population of 1.5 million people and 4.5 million people, has been able to contribute in the high category. Six example sub-districts have also been able to contribute with high criteria. Samboja Sub-District contributes to the need for high category IKN corn. Muara Jawa, Sebulu and Muara Kaman Sub-districts contributed in the low category. Meanwhile, Loa Janan and Tenggarong Seberang Sub-districts have not been able to contribute.