“…While historically driven by egg collection and guano scraping (Crawford et al, 2018;Frost et al, 1976), current declines are predominantly attributed to reduced prey availability (Crawford et al, 2011;Sherley et al, 2020). Shifting geographic distributions of sardine (Sardinops sagax) and anchovy (Engraulis encrasicolus), the main prey of African penguins, apparently exacerbated by competition with fisheries, has been linked to both reduced survival (Robinson et al, 2015;Sherley, Abadi, et al, 2014) and lower breeding success (Crawford, Barham, et al, 2006;Sherley et al, 2013Sherley et al, , 2021. However, population growth of seabirds can also be influenced by the proportion of the population that breeds each year (Cam et al, 1998;Le Bohec et al, 2007).…”