Correspondence: Looking for Asia's Security Dilemma

Fu, Ronan Tse-min; Gill, David; Hundman, Eric; Liff, Adam P.; Ikenberry, G. John

doi:10.1162/isec_c_00220

Cited by 9 publications

(8 citation statements)

References 24 publications

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“…With the caveat that the two Koreas are left out of the analysis, we have at the very least grounds to state that any security competition seems significantly tempered. Others have reached the same conclusion, showing that the armaments data instead indicate ‘a surprising lack of interest in boosting … military expenditures in response to China’s massive increases’ (Fu, 2015: 181). This fits with the view that long-term economic, institutional, normative and domestic–political changes have worked, and presumably still work, to prolong and entrench a Pax Asiatica that has existed since the 1979 Sino-Vietnamese War (Choi, 2016; Goldsmith, 2014; Solingen, 2007).…”

Section: Discussion Of Regional Patternsmentioning

confidence: 97%

Geographical and temporal patterns of interstate security competition: Global and regional evidence

Jakobsen

Halvorsen

2019

International Area Studies Review

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This article tests what seems to be a reasonably widespread perception, namely, that the last few years have witnessed intensified interstate security competition in several of the world’s regions. Specifically, we investigate whether or not states’ military budgets tend to change as a function of changes to the armaments levels of neighbouring states, as the security dilemma model would suggest. We perform two empirical analyses. First, we specify a least square dummy variables model, whose results we map using standard geographic information system software. Our ‘hot spot’ analysis for the period 2008/2009–2014 suggests that action–reaction dynamics are present in the Middle East, Central and Southern Africa, and the South Caucasus. Neither South nor East or South East Asia is ridden by severe security competition. Europe generally forms a ‘cold spot’ region, indicating a lower-than-expected level of changes in arms spending. Second, our spatial lag model suggests the presence of action–reaction globally for the whole post-Cold War era, although results are still substantially driven by the last few years. Interstate security competition is now, apparently, an important element of international politics – albeit only in some regions. Our findings also reveal the potential for disarmament spirals.

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Section: Discussion Of Regional Patternsmentioning

confidence: 97%

Geographical and temporal patterns of interstate security competition: Global and regional evidence

Jakobsen

Halvorsen

2019

International Area Studies Review

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“…The last five administrations have tried to maintain a neutral position to the South China Sea dispute by choosing a neutral language to avoid being entangled in the border dispute. The speeches by senior US administration officials more often than not carry a disclaimer that the USA seeks to choose no sides in the SCS border dispute and wishes to resolve the border disputes in the SCS to be reached without coercion (Fu et al, 2015). This effort which is impartial however is difficult to maintain since the USA seems to be drawing many countries in the SCS border dispute to its political-military sphere except China.…”

Section: An Alternative Systemmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The SCS has received increased attention as an important political region in recent decades. relationships globally, from Southeast Asia to Africa, and to Latin America (Fu et al, 2015). The growing power of China raises some apprehension, either regional or global.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…China's growing desire towards regional cooperation with East Asia to boost trade and its rise has become a concern for its neighbors and the international community, particularly the US. As Fu et al (2015) stated, "The major drivers of the rapidly changing power balance in Asia are China's rapid military modernization and economic development. China's interests and capabilities have expanded and the growth of economic and military power can enable it to pursue their interests through military force or coercion.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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China on Stage: Assumptions and Strategies in South China Sea

Teixeira

2018

AJSSS

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This study attempts to better understand the geopolitical, geostrategic, and geo-economic underpinnings behind the USA’s so-called “Pivot to Asia” by analyzing the dynamics behind the South China Sea dispute. The emergence of Asia as the power epicenter of the world is the defining paradigm shift of our time; and China’s meteoric economic rise was the determining factor behind this repositioning of geopolitical polarity. The study analyzes this dispute from the perspectives of the Containment Theory, Assumptions, Geo-Economic Strategies and Power. It also points out solutions to the conflict through international law and cooperation. Finally, emphasizes the importance of both, the geostrategic point of view and a geopolitical standpoint and has demonstrated that the US policy strategies towards Asia and the SCS are not helpful at all. Instead of focusing on containing China, the US should embrace China as a trading partner and become a neutral player in matters of the region including South China Sea.

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“…Blant forskere og analytikere hersker det imidlertid uenighet om den militaere utviklingen i Asia-og Stillehavsområdet kan beskrives som et «våpenkappløp». Mens noen benekter at det foregår et slikt kappløp i Asia (Hofbauer og Ben-Ari 2012;Fu et al, 2015;Bitzinger 2010), inntar andre et mellomstandpunkt (Till 2012;Till 2013;Liff & Ikenberry 2014;Le Mière 2014), mens andre igjen mener at et fullverdig våpenkappløp er i gang (Tan 2014; Ball 2010; Cheung 2016). I denne artikkelen tar vi til orde for at utviklingen kan beskrives som et komplekst sett med våpenkappløp mellom flere aktører, og på flere våpentekniske områder.…”

Section: Innledningunclassified

Våpenkappløpene i Asia- og Stillehavsområdet

Lysklætt

Hiim

Stenslie

2016

Internasjonal Politikk

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Etter flere tiår med rask økonomisk vekst satser en rekke stater i Asia-og Stillehavsområdet på å utvikle sterkere militaermakt. I denne artikkelen hevdes det at det nå foregår flere våpenkappløp i regionen. Våpenkappløpene skjer på flere militaere og militaerteknologiske områder og mellom ulike kombinasjoner av stater. Et fellestrekk er imidlertid at de er drevet fram av et Kina som ikke bare har vokst seg sterkere, men som også uroer sine naboer på grunn av en mer selvhevdende atferd og en økende satsning på offensive militaere kapabiliteter. Våpenkappløpene er ikke like intense som for eksempel det klassiske «Dreadnought-kappløpet» mellom Tyskland og Storbritannia, men de gir like fullt grunnlag for bekymring over det framtidige sikkerhetspolitiske klimaet i Asia-og Stillehavsområdet.

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Correspondence: Looking for Asia's Security Dilemma

Cited by 9 publications

References 24 publications

Geographical and temporal patterns of interstate security competition: Global and regional evidence

Geographical and temporal patterns of interstate security competition: Global and regional evidence

China on Stage: Assumptions and Strategies in South China Sea

Våpenkappløpene i Asia- og Stillehavsområdet

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