Corrigendum to &amp;quot;The European Flood Alert System – Part 1: Concept and development&amp;quot; published in Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 13, 125–140, 2009

A probabilistic evaluation of ensemble forecasts can be used to communicate uncertainty to decision makers. We present a flood forecast scheme, which combines forecasts from the European COSMO‐LEPS, SRNWP‐PEPS and COSMO‐DE (lagged average) ensemble prediction systems with a rainfall–runoff model. The methodology was demonstrated with a case study for the Central European Mulde River basin. In this paper, we summarize results from hindcast simulations for seven events from 2002 to 2008. The ensemble spread resulting from uncertainty in rainfall forecast was very high at 2–5 days lead time. The median of the medium‐ and short‐range forecasts and a lagged average ensemble of the very short‐range forecasts proved to be reliable regarding the probability of exceeding flood alert levels. However, the limited number of observed events does not allow for the postulation of prescriptive binary decision rules. Flood managers have to adapt their decisions when new information becomes available.

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Can ensemble forecasts improve the reliability of flood alerts?

Dietrich

Denhard

Schumann

2009

J Flood Risk Management

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A New Approach towards a User-Driven Coastal Climate Service to Enhance Climate Resilience in European Cities

Paranunzio,

Anton,

Adirosi

et al. 2023

Sustainability

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Coastal climate services play a crucial role in developing customised climate information for diverse end-users and stakeholders. To build climate-resilient societies, decision-makers should be empowered through easy access to powerful tools that enable timely adaptation to future and ongoing hazards. For this reason, fit-for-purpose climate services are needed to conduct accurate historical characterisation and projections for interpretative studies on climate- and water-related risks at the local coastal scale. The EU-funded SCORE project (Smart Control of Climate Resilience in European Coastal Cities) utilises climate and marine services for the development of smart technologies that support nature-based solutions to address specific concerns, including rising sea levels, coastal erosion, and coastal flooding due to extreme weather events. As part of the SCORE project, decision-makers will be able to address climate change-related coastal effects in their own cities through novel participatory approaches (Coastal City Living Labs—CCLLs). As part of this framework, this work (i) discusses the main requirements for the identification of fit-for-purpose coastal climate services for local-scale impact studies in European coastal cities based on CCLL requests and prior knowledge and (ii) provides relevant parameters and features that fulfil the users’ needs.

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Corrigendum to "The European Flood Alert System – Part 1: Concept and development" published in Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 13, 125–140, 2009

Abstract: Abstract. No abstact available.

Cited by 2 publications

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Can ensemble forecasts improve the reliability of flood alerts?

Can ensemble forecasts improve the reliability of flood alerts?

A New Approach towards a User-Driven Coastal Climate Service to Enhance Climate Resilience in European Cities

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