Background
In a recent randomized placebo-controlled trial, consolidation treatment with brentuximab vedotin (BV) decreased the risk of Hodgkin lymphoma (HL) progression after autologous stem-cell transplantation (ASCT). However, the impact of BV consolidation on overall survival, quality of life, and health care costs are unclear.
Methods
We constructed a Markov decision-analytic model to measure the costs and clinical outcomes for BV consolidation therapy compared to active surveillance in a 33-year-old patient cohort at risk for HL relapse following ASCT. Life-time costs, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) were calculated for each post-ASCT strategy.
Results
After quality-of-life adjustments and standard discounting, upfront BV consolidation was associated with an improvement of 1.07 quality-adjusted-life years (QALYs) compared to active surveillance with BV as salvage. However, the strategy of BV consolidation led to significantly higher healthcare costs ($378,832 versus $219,761), causing the ICER for BV consolidation compared with active surveillance to be $148,664/QALY. If indication-specific pricing were implemented, our model estimates BV price reductions of 18% to 38% for the consolidative setting would translate to ICERs of $100,000/QALY and $50,000/QALY, respectively. Findings were consistent on one-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses.
Conclusions
BV as consolidation at current US pricing is unlikely to be cost-effective at a willingness to pay threshold of $100,000/QALY. However, indication-specific price reductions for the consolidative setting could reduce ICERs to widely acceptable values.