Country Risk Assessment in Economic Security and Sustainability Context

Sviderskė, Tatjana

doi:10.20334/2308-m

Cited by 4 publications

(4 citation statements)

References 104 publications

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“…-raw material and resource security; -energy security; -financial security; -social security; -innovative technological security; -food safety; -foreign economic security [1,[5][6][7][8][9][10][11][12].…”

Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…For example, a central bank rate hike can reduce consumer demand and corporate spending; -fall in real GDP; -growth of corruption; -loss of investment attractiveness of the country; -growth of the shadow sector; -politics, technological changes, social and demographic trends, changes in consumer demand, market competition, foreign trade balance and many others. Agreeing with the opinions of scientists in [5][6][7][8][9], the state of the macroeconomic environment is assessed by indicators of commodity, money markets and the labor market. Indi cators of the state of the macroeconomic environment are the indicators listed and calculated in the Table 2.…”

Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…), which left room for further research. Works [6,7] are mostly devoted to the analysis of the country's risk assessment me thods from different points of view, and to the definition of the structural components and relationships of the country's economic security. The shortcoming of the considered works is the underestimation of the role of factors of the macro economic sphere in establishing the level of its economic security.…”

Section: Analysis Of Determinants Of the Influence Of The External Ec...mentioning

confidence: 99%

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Analysis of determinants of the influence of the external economic sphere on economic security of the state

Zubko

2024

TAPR

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The object of research is a list of the main factors of influence of the foreign economic sphere on the level of economic security. The effective development of the national economy largely depends on the state and level of economic security of the country in the conditions of strengthening globalization and integration processes. An adequate level of economic security is the basis for the development of socio-economic systems of any level, stability in society in general. Therefore, assessment and analysis of factors affecting economic security at different levels (countries, businesses, enterprises and organizations) is an important direction of the analytical work of specialists. For its implementation, analysts need a methodology – to determine the goal and interests, the main influencing factors and principles, to choose methodological and analytical tools. In the scientific works of economists, the methodology, level, and indicators are given as separate aspects of the formation and management of the economic security of the state. Without denying the significant contribution of these developments, the conducted research sets out the systematization of factors influencing the state of the macroeconomic environment. The study of factors influencing the macroeconomic sphere on the level of economic security of the country is based on the use of indicators calculated from available statistical data. The last twenty years, which showed an increase in world GDP almost twofold (from 51.39 trillion USD in 2000 to 101.12 trillion USD in 2020), are characterized by the loss of opportunities for the Ukrainian economy to be present on the world stage a market where competition is intensifying and carried out at a new technological level. The work defines the national economic interests of Ukraine in the global socio-economic space, the directions of the realization of the national interests of Ukraine, the dynamics of indicators of the development of the macroeconomic sphere. This made it possible to form a list of the main influential factors of the macroeconomic sphere, which directly shape the level of economic security of the state. The results of the research can be useful for the formation or adaptation of development strategies of countries with similar conditions and economies, such as Georgia, Moldova, which also have conflicts with Russia and seek to join the European Union.

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Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Analysis Of Determinants Of the Influence Of The External Ec...mentioning

confidence: 99%

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Analysis of determinants of the influence of the external economic sphere on economic security of the state

Zubko

2024

TAPR

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“…In this work, there is no allocation of the influence of exactly the factors of trade, which left room for further research. Improvements [5][6][7][8] are mainly devoted to the analysis of methods for assessing the country's risk from different points of view and the definition of structural components and relationships of the country's economic security. The disadvantage of the considered works is the underestimation of the role of foreign trade in establishing the level of economic security.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Development of the methodology for evaluating the economic security of the entrepreneurship in the international trade system

Zubko

2022

TAPR

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The object of research is the methodology for assessing the level of economic security of the state from the standpoint of analyzing its foreign trade. The perception of the economic security of countries is not yet unambiguous; it is important to study the theoretical foundations of economic security. In the works of the predecessors, the hierarchy of the concept of economic security was determined and the concept of the economic security of the state was proposed. But most research is not comprehensive enough. The components of the country's economic security are determined through three groups of risks, but such a division does not take into account most of the threats and is not sufficiently detailed and comprehensive. In the scientific works of economists, the methodology, level, indicators are presented as separate aspects of the formation and management of the economic security of the state. Without denying the significant contribution of these developments, the study noted the lack of a unified methodology for assessing the level of economic security of the country. Accordingly, this study was aimed at presenting a conceptual approach to the methodology for assessing the level of economic security of the country, based on the study of international trade and the main statistical indicators of the economy. The study of the level of economic security of the country is based on the use of indicators built on indicators of the state of the country's economy and its international trade. The paper studies the dynamics of the main socio-economic indicators of the development of the economies of the associated trio of countries: Georgia, Moldova and Ukraine. And also the state of economic security of countries and prospects for further development are determined. It has been established that Ukraine in the pre-war period had a better level of economic security than Georgia and Moldova.

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Macroeconomic Safety Measures of the World

Hrybinenko¹

2020

Scientific Opinion: Economics and Management

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МАКРОЕКОНОМІЧНІ ВИМІРИ БЕЗПЕКИ КРАЇН СВІТУ MACROECONOMIC SAFETY MEASURES OF THE WORLDУ зв'язку з повільним економічним зростанням та макроекономічною нестабільністю, зростанням рівня невизначеності постає проблема кількісного оцінювання рівня економічної безпеки на основі макроекономічних індикаторів розвитку країн. У статті здійснено конструювання відповідних індексів економічної безпеки країн на основі інтеграційного підходу та методики багатовимірного оцінювання. Визначено макроекономічні індикатори безпеки країн світу, на основі яких визначено передумови сталого економічного розвитку -стійка індустріалізація та активний інноваційний розвиток за умови існування ефективної інфраструктури. Рівень економічної безпеки країн в останні роки знизився через такі макроекономічні чинники, як: торговельні та тарифні бар'єри; стримування інвестицій; перерозподіл ресурсів на користь сфери послуг та високотехнологічних секторів; збереження низького рівня індустріалізації в найменш розвинених країнах. Більшість країн із досліджуваної вибірки (56,6%) є відносно безпечною щодо рівня макроекономічної безпеки, 30,2% країн мають відносно незадовільний рівень, 13,2% країн характеризуються небезпечним рівнем, до критичної зони не віднесено жодної країни.Ключові слова: безпека країн, економічна безпека, макроекономічна безпека, індекси безпеки.В связи с медленным экономическим ростом и макроэкономической нестабильностью, ростом уровня неопределенности возникает проблема количественного оценивания уровня экономической безопасности на основе макроэкономических индикаторов развития стран. В статье проведено конструирование индексов экономической безопасности стран на основе интеграционного подхода и методики многомерного оценивания. Определены макроэкономические индикаторы безопасности стран мира, на основе которых определены предпосылки устойчивого экономического развития -устойчивая индустриализация и активное инновационное развитие при условии существования эффективной инфраструктуры. Уровень экономической безопасности стран в последние годы снизился из-за таких макроэкономических факторов, как: торговые и тарифные барьеры; сдерживание инвестиций; перераспределение ресурсов в пользу сферы услуг и высокотехнологичных секторов; сохранение низкого уровня индустриализации в наименее развитых странах. Большинство стран с исследуемой выборки (56,6%) являются относительно безопасными по уровню макроэкономической безопасности, 30,2% стран имеют относительно неудовлетворительный уровень, 13,2% стран характеризуются опасным уровнем, в критическую зону не включено ни одной страны.Ключевые слова: безопасность стран, экономическая безопасность, макроэкономическая безопасность, индексы безопасности. The country economic security is inextricably linked to the sustainable development of the national economic system, because in most approaches to its definition, economic security is such a characteristic of the economic system that defines its independence, stability and ability to dynamic and consistent development, security and competitiveness, ab...

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Country Risk Assessment in Economic Security and Sustainability Context

Cited by 4 publications

References 104 publications

Analysis of determinants of the influence of the external economic sphere on economic security of the state

Analysis of determinants of the influence of the external economic sphere on economic security of the state

Development of the methodology for evaluating the economic security of the entrepreneurship in the international trade system

Macroeconomic Safety Measures of the World

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