2021
DOI: 10.1007/s10489-021-02391-6
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COVID-19 cases prediction in multiple areas via shapelet learning

Abstract: Predicting the number of COVID-19 cases in a geographical area is important for the management of health resources and decision making. Several methods have been proposed for COVID-19 case predictions but they have important limitations in terms of model interpretability, related to COVID-19's incubation period and major trends of disease transmission. To be able to explain prediction results in terms of incubation period and transmission trends, this paper presents the Multivariate Shapelet Learning (MSL) mod… Show more

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Cited by 16 publications
(3 citation statements)
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“…The methods for obtaining shapelets can be divided into two categories: shapelet discovery and shapelet learning. The basic step of shapelet discovery is to consider all sequences from training time series data which are evaluated with a scoring function to estimate how well they predict given class labels [14,28]. The shapelet discovery is inefficient because time series usually have many candidate segments.…”
Section: The Prior Information and Shapelet Learningmentioning
confidence: 99%
See 1 more Smart Citation
“…The methods for obtaining shapelets can be divided into two categories: shapelet discovery and shapelet learning. The basic step of shapelet discovery is to consider all sequences from training time series data which are evaluated with a scoring function to estimate how well they predict given class labels [14,28]. The shapelet discovery is inefficient because time series usually have many candidate segments.…”
Section: The Prior Information and Shapelet Learningmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…And the extracted shapelet can well assist in capturing the important dynamic features of time series. In order to realize the effectiveness and prediction of the covid-19 case, a method on how to recognize and effectively use the shape information provided [14,15]. The key data points of the observed time series were described by the shapelets, then a regression task was built to predict the upcoming COVID-19 cases.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The outstanding performance of DL in industry and academia is widely recognized. The medical tasks are being automated using DL methods [20,35], including cancer detection, tumour classification, vessel segmentation, etc. The high accuracy is impressive; however, models often act as black-boxes with unexplainable complicated layers.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%