Creating Prospective Value Chains for Renewable Road Transport Energy Sources up to 2050 in Nordic Countries

Linking narratives and energy system modelling in transport scenarios: A participatory perspective from Denmark

“…While driving forces are commonly used, their role and application vary across the scenario planning processes. They can constitute the backbone of the scenario creation (European Community, 2004;Tuominen et al, 2014); they are more loosely drawing the foundation of the foresight exercise (ERTRAC, 2009;EA, 2008); or they inform the scenario building process acting as a background study, i.e. "building scaffold" (TransVisions, 2009;World Energy Council, 2011).…”

“…Furthermore, when grouping the parameters into driving forces, the concept of "influence chains" was adopted. Influence chains (European Environment Agency, 2007;Tuominen et al, 2014) allow linking the different parameters together by considering cause-effect relationships between them and other system implications.…”

“…Infrastructure and Technology: Transport infrastructure, with particular reference to EVs and e-bikes infrastructure, was considered important for enabling a stronger technological shift in the private passenger sector, as highlighted also in Tuominen et al (2014) and European Commission (2008).…”