Crime and Growth Convergence: Evidence from Mexico

Abstract

The Policy Research Working Paper Series disseminates the findings of work in progress to encourage the exchange of ideas about development issues. An objective of the series is to get the findings out quickly, even if the presentations are less than fully polished. The papers carry the names of the authors and should be cited accordingly. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this paper are entirely those of the authors. They do not necessarily represent the views of the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development/World Bank and its affiliated organizations, or those of the Executive Directors of the World Bank or the governments they represent.

The Dynamic Relationship between Crime and Economic Growth in Nigeria

“…More frequently, studies conclude that additional work is needed to better understand this link. Lack of data has influenced study results of, for example, Enamorado, López-Calva and Rodríguez-Castelán [2014]. Analysis of the date that is available relies on the panel data or time series methods [Burnham et al, 2004;Mauro, Carmeci, 2007;Pan, Widner, Enomoto, 2012;Kumar, 2013;Goulas, Zervoyianni, 2013;Enamorado et al, 2014].…”

“…This analysis is based on time series data to study the relationship between crime and economic growth in Nigeria [Burnham et al, 2004;Mauro, Carmeci, 2007;Pan et al, 2012;Kumar, 2013;Goulas, Zervoyianni, 2013;Enamorado et al, 2014], which is critical to addressing both of these issues [Mauro, Carmeci, 2007].…”

Desempleo Y Criminalidad en Los Estados De La Frontera Norte De México: Un Enfoque Espacial Bayesiano De Vectores Auto-Regresivos

“…Por ejemplo, entre los estudios recientes que abordan el análisis de los determinantes de la actividad criminal en México se encuentra el elaborado por Osorio (2012); también, las investigaciones de Feliz (2012), Pan et al (2012), Enamorado (2013), González (2014) y Torres, Polanco y Tinoco (2015) que analizan el efecto de la criminalidad en el crecimiento económico a escala regional en el país. En el trabajo de Torres, Polanco y Venegas (2015), se evalúa el efecto de la criminalidad en la inversión privada regional y nacional, y en la investigación de Verdugo, Pedroni y Hu (2015), los autores evalúan el efecto de un choque a la tasa de homicidios en variables como el PIB y la IED mediante un modelo VAR estructural en panel.…”

“…Por su parte, Pan et al (2012), estiman un modelo espacial en panel de datos, y encuentran que los homicidios no ejercen un efecto significativo en la tasa de crecimiento económico regional de México. Por otro lado, en un estudio similar pero a escala municipal, Enamorado et al (2013), encuentran evidencia de efectos negativos.…”

The Economic Consequences of the Mexican Drug War

“…What is more, economists have long examined the welfare impact of different sorts of violence like civil wars (Collier 1999), crime (Enamorado, López-Calva, and Rodríguez-Castelán 2014;Soares 2006) and terrorism (Abadie and Gardeazabal 2003;Bassil 2013); yet, there is little knowledge about the fiscal ramifications of a strong-armed military crackdown. The purpose of this paper is to fill this policy-knowledge gap by testing empirically whether the Mexican Drug War had an effect on economic development at the state level, using gross domestic product (GDP) per capita as the outcome of interest.…”