Crime Linkage Analysis

Keatley, David

doi:10.1007/978-3-319-75226-6_11

Cited by 6 publications

(31 citation statements)

References 13 publications

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“…In keeping with the recent advances in linguistic and nonverbal communication research (Burgoon et al, 2014(Burgoon et al, , 2015Diana et al, 2015;Marono et al, 2017Marono et al, , 2018Zurloni et al, 2015), a temporal approach will be used to investigate CBCA. Individual tells or indicators of truthfulness or deception are not enough (Hartwig and Bond, 2011;Vrij et al, 2011); therefore, understanding and mapping patterns may provide clearer insight (Keatley, 2018;Marono et al, 2018). As the criteria of CBCA differ across prior literature, the criteria alone may not be enough to determine the presence of deceptive or truth-telling behaviours; therefore, a sequence of indicators may provide a more accurate analysis of whether a statement is deceptive.…”

Section: Missing Person Casesmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…BSA (Keatley, 2018) is a recent approach in Criminology and Forensic Psychology that is useful in determining the sequential patterns that occur between behaviours and events over a duration of time (Keatley, 2018(Keatley, , 2020Marono et al, 2017). There are three stages to the BSA: parsing, coding/categorization and analysis.…”

Section: Missing Person Casesmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…logical structure and quantity of details would be coded as "Ageneral characteristics'' and contextual embedding and reproduction of conversation would be coded as "Bspecific contents''). The third stage, analysis, refers to analysing transitions between pairs of markers that occur more or less likely than chance, typically in a lag-one (one-transition) approach (Ellis et al, 2017;Keatley, 2018). Lag-one refers to "one step" transitions (e.g.…”

Section: Missing Person Casesmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The current research builds on trends in the wider deception detection literature that apply complex temporal methods to real-world samples that demonstrate deceptive cues to deceit (Burgoon et al, 2014(Burgoon et al, , 2015Diana et al, 2015;Keatley et al, 2018;Lansley, 2017;Marono et al, 2017Marono et al, , 2018Zurloni et al, 2015). The current research is the first, to the authors' knowledge, to use behaviour sequence analysis (BSA; Keatley, 2018) to identify patterns of deception and truth-telling in statements of suspects in missing persons cases using criteria-based content analysis (CBCA; Undeutsch, 1967). The current research provides a foundation for the support of CBCA to be tested in adult samples of missing persons cases; however, cautious development and application is suggested before it is applied to real-world investigations.…”

mentioning

confidence: 99%

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Pathways to truth: using criteria-based content analysis in missing person cases

Richards

Keatley²

2023

JCP

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Purpose When investigating missing persons cases, witness and suspect statements are often the only available evidence to investigators. As such, forensic linguistics can be useful to police when seeking information from individuals during investigative interviews. The presumption of innocence must be maintained in an investigation, and therefore this study aims to use a method focused on veracity detection, rather than the majority of studies using deception detection approaches. Design/methodology/approach The current research uses criteria-based content analysis (CBCA), a method that has been applied to a variety of criminal cases. Real-world statements of individuals convicted or found innocent of their involvement in missing persons cases were used in the analyses. Additionally, behaviour sequence analysis (BSA) was used to map language patterns within individuals’ statements. Findings Results indicated that two individual markers occurred at a high frequency across all four groups (the guilty and innocent statements of both case types); however, differences were noted in the sequences based on an individual’s ability to provide experiential details. Research limitations/implications The current research contributes to the growing literature that aims to test CBCA in adult samples across crimes that do not pertain to sexual abuse, in addition to aiding researchers and practitioners to understand better the linguistic differences that occur in missing persons cases. Originality/value To the best of the authors’ knowledge, this type of research, using CBCA to assist with missing person's cases with a temporal method (BSA), has never before been tested. BSA has previously been used in forensic linguistics, and shown support for the method. The current research builds on this in terms of missing persons cases.

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Section: Missing Person Casesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Missing Person Casesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Missing Person Casesmentioning

confidence: 99%

mentioning

confidence: 99%

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Pathways to truth: using criteria-based content analysis in missing person cases

Richards

Keatley²

2023

JCP

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“…Perhaps, after using a gate and a fence, an offender feels an implicit or explicit urge to use a different waypoint, attempting to appear random and not follow any clear or obvious paths. There are a number of Behaviour Sequence Analysis (Keatley, 2018(Keatley, , 2020Keatley, Barsky, & Clarke, 2017) methods that could be used to sequence the discrete sequential decision making steps in an individual's site selection. Coding each step of the sequence could be done based on the 'affordance' of each landmark or waypoint, as well as grouping or categorising the landmarks.…”

Section: Affordancementioning

confidence: 99%

The Psycho-criminology of Burial Sites: Developing the Winthropping Method for Locating Clandestine Burial Sites

Keatley

O’Donnell

Chapman

et al. 2021

J Police Crim Psych

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The majority of geographical profiling research focuses on the relationship between offender and location, which works particularly well when a burial site is known. In real-world investigations, however, burial or dump sites are often not known. The aim of the current paper is to outline a relatively under-used method of geographic profiling: Winthropping. While the method has been around for several decades, few studies have provided any research findings using it. There are two likely reasons for Winthropping being under-used, first, it has not been clearly, theoretically explained. Second, given its relative novelty, it may not be immediately clear how to use it in research and real-world scenarios. The current paper outlines several key psychological (e.g., satisficing and affordances) and criminological (e.g., rational choice theory and crime geometry) theories that may explain why Winthropping works. Case studies are provided and a methodological approach (Matrix Forecasting) is then provided to show how it could work in research practice and real-world applications. Overall, Winthropping is deemed to be highly useful and it is hoped that experts in the field will begin developing this tool for wider, applied use.

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Finding the missing: using statement analysis to assist in missing persons cases

Richards

McClish²,

Keatley

2023

JCP

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Purpose The purpose of this paper is to address the complexity of missing persons cases and highlight the linguistic differences that arise in this type of crime. Missing persons cases are typically very complex investigations. Without a body, crime scene forensics is not possible, and police are often left only with witness and suspect statements. Forensic linguistics methods may help investigators to prioritise or remove suspects. There are many competing approaches in forensic linguistic analysis; however, there is limited empirical research available on emerging methods. Design/methodology/approach This research investigates Statement Analysis, a recent development in linguistic analysis that has practical applications in criminal investigations. Real-world statements of individuals convicted of or found to be not guilty of their involvement in missing persons cases were used in the analyses. In addition, Behaviour Sequence Analysis was used to map the progressions of language in the suspects' statements. Findings Results indicated differences between the guilty and innocent individuals based on their language choices, for example, guilty suspects in missing [alive] cases were found more likely to use passive language and vague words because of high levels of cognitive load associated with the several types of guilty knowledge suspects in missing persons cases possess. Of particular interest is the use of untruthful words in the innocent suspects’ statements in missing [murdered] cases. While typically seen in deceptive statements, untruthful words in innocent statements may result because of false acquittals. Originality/value This research provides some support for Statement Analysis as a suitable approach to analysing linguistic statements in missing persons cases.

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Crime Linkage Analysis

Cited by 6 publications

References 13 publications

Pathways to truth: using criteria-based content analysis in missing person cases

Pathways to truth: using criteria-based content analysis in missing person cases

The Psycho-criminology of Burial Sites: Developing the Winthropping Method for Locating Clandestine Burial Sites

Finding the missing: using statement analysis to assist in missing persons cases

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