2014
DOI: 10.1080/17449057.2014.924659
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Critical Junctures and Missed Opportunities: The Case of Lebanon's Cedar Revolution

Abstract: This article addresses three shortcomings in the path dependency literature on critical junctures: the neglect of negative cases, non-state actors and of power asymmetries. The 2005 Cedar Revolution had the makings of a critical juncture. Yet despite the rise of alternative nongovernmental organizations (ANGOs) seeking to change the sectarian political system, a public ready for change, renewed donor interest and funds, little came of this juncture; Lebanon’s ANGOs are now inactive. This paper questions why. B… Show more

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Cited by 16 publications
(3 citation statements)
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“…CSOs are affected by prevailing sociopolitical divisions, and often sustain and reproduce them (Kingston, 2013), with sectarian elites either penetrating, besieging, co-opting their structures or repressing their actions (Clark and Salloukh, 2013). Researchers distinguish CSOs based on kinship and sectarian ties from those operating on the basis of non-sectarian activism; they also note the power asymmetry between both types, which impedes structural change (Clark and Zahar, 2015).…”
Section: Notesmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…CSOs are affected by prevailing sociopolitical divisions, and often sustain and reproduce them (Kingston, 2013), with sectarian elites either penetrating, besieging, co-opting their structures or repressing their actions (Clark and Salloukh, 2013). Researchers distinguish CSOs based on kinship and sectarian ties from those operating on the basis of non-sectarian activism; they also note the power asymmetry between both types, which impedes structural change (Clark and Zahar, 2015).…”
Section: Notesmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…In effect, after the victory of the March 14 coalition at the elections of May 2005, the country got caught in a deep political crisis reflecting the delicate reassessment that the domestic and regional power balances were undergoing (Clark and Zahar 2015). One of the major sources of conflict revolved around the question of the disarmament of Hezbollah which, after the suspicions fallen on the organization for the assassination of the late prime minister, regained momentum after the “July War” fought against Israel in 2006.…”
Section: Clashing At the Edges: Shia Counter‐revolution And The Spect...mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Most studies of resilience start with the identification of what is sometimes called a "critical juncture". Commonly defined as "choice points that put countries (or other units) onto paths of development that track certain outcomes -as opposed to others -and that cannot be easily broken or reversed" (Mahoney 2001: 7), critical junctures are slowly making their way from comparative politics (Soifer 2012) to ethnic and migration studies (Clark and Zahar 2014) and to international relations scholarship (Fioretos 2011).…”
Section: The Missing Arrowmentioning
confidence: 99%