2020
DOI: 10.1177/2394901520913653
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Crowding Out of Private Sector in Tanzania: Government Expenditure, Domestic Borrowing, and Lending Rates

Abstract: This study empirically analyzes the impact of government expenditure and domestic borrowing on credit to the private sector in Tanzania by increasing lending rates. Quarterly time series data are collected from 2004 to 2018. Autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model estimation with a bound cointegration test is used to establish the short- and long-run relationships, and the results are subjected to diagnostic tests for robustness. The result shows that government expenditure and domestic borrowing crowd out… Show more

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Cited by 13 publications
(9 citation statements)
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“…When the government takes up substantial loans amounts, this in turn occasions increases in real interest rates, adversely impacting an economy's lending capacity, thereby disincentivizing enterprises from investing in long term capital projects that would have been done with borrowed funds given the increases in interest rates, which makes viable projects that would have been funded by borrowed monies extremely expensive, therefore unprofitable (Fincke & Greiner, 2015). The argument being that as the cost of borrowing escalates, there's a reduction in interest-sensitive1spending1like investments and consumption, and in this way, and public sector's borrowing "crowds out" investment (Mwakalila, 2020).…”
Section: The Crowding-out Effect Theorymentioning
confidence: 99%
“…When the government takes up substantial loans amounts, this in turn occasions increases in real interest rates, adversely impacting an economy's lending capacity, thereby disincentivizing enterprises from investing in long term capital projects that would have been done with borrowed funds given the increases in interest rates, which makes viable projects that would have been funded by borrowed monies extremely expensive, therefore unprofitable (Fincke & Greiner, 2015). The argument being that as the cost of borrowing escalates, there's a reduction in interest-sensitive1spending1like investments and consumption, and in this way, and public sector's borrowing "crowds out" investment (Mwakalila, 2020).…”
Section: The Crowding-out Effect Theorymentioning
confidence: 99%
“…When the government takes up substantial loans amounts, this in turn occasions increases in real interest rates, adversely impacting an economy's lending capacity, thereby disincentivizing enterprises from investing in long-term capital projects that would have been done with borrowed funds given the increases in interest rates, which makes viable projects that would have been funded by borrowed monies extremely expensive, therefore unprofitable (Fincke & Greiner, 2015). The argument is that as the cost of borrowing escalates, there's a reduction in interest-sensitive1spending1like investments and consumption, and in this way, and public sector's borrowing "crowds out" investment (Mwakalila, 2020).…”
Section: The Crowding-out Effect Theorymentioning
confidence: 99%
“…For example, if government decides to sell treasury bills to the public in order to enhance its financial position, this singular act will tend to reduce moneys available for entrepreneurs and businesses to fall on. Such policies if proceeded more often and at more competitive rates, investors would prefer offering finance to government at the expense of the private sector and this would invariably crowd out the private sector and all entrepreneurial activities (Mwakalila, 2020).…”
Section: External Factors As "Hindrance"mentioning
confidence: 99%