The purpose of the study is to build a model of the influence of agro ecological factors on the productivity of wheat grains. In connection with the ongoing climate changes and, as a result, changes in the growing season, it is required to annually adjust the basic parameters that affect the quality and yield of crops. As a rule, the basic parameters include the norms of applied mineral fertilizers, the timing of sowing and the seeding rate. Correct and accurate determination of acceptable values for each of the listed parameters in specific agro-climatic conditions will improve the quality of wheat crops. In the framework of the work, a statistical study of the degree of influence of individual factors on the productivity of seeds of cereal crops was carried out.