2020
DOI: 10.1289/ehp5899
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Current and Projected Distributions of Aedes aegypti and Ae. albopictus in Canada and the U.S.

Abstract: BACKGROUND: Aedes aegypti and Ae. albopictus are mosquito vectors of more than 22 arboviruses that infect humans. OBJECTIVES: Our objective was to develop regional ecological niche models for Ae. aegypti and Ae. albopictus in the conterminous United States and Canada with current observed and simulated climate and land-use data using boosted regression trees (BRTs). METHODS: We used BRTs to assess climatic suitability for Ae. albopictus and Ae. aegypti mosquitoes in Canada and the United States under current a… Show more

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Cited by 46 publications
(39 citation statements)
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References 62 publications
(84 reference statements)
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“…In Asia, overwintering of diapausing eggs occurs where mean January temperatures are lower than -2°C (Kobayashi et al, 2002) or even -3°C and -4°C (Nawrocki & Hawley, 1987;Wu et al, 2011). In Europe Waldock et al (2013) suggested to use a -4°C isotherm, while in the USA a threshold of -5°C was suggested (Khan et al, 2020). Tippelt et al (2020) specify that the vector is capable of overwintering at temperatures <2°C in Europe.…”
Section: Climatic Thresholdsmentioning
confidence: 99%
See 1 more Smart Citation
“…In Asia, overwintering of diapausing eggs occurs where mean January temperatures are lower than -2°C (Kobayashi et al, 2002) or even -3°C and -4°C (Nawrocki & Hawley, 1987;Wu et al, 2011). In Europe Waldock et al (2013) suggested to use a -4°C isotherm, while in the USA a threshold of -5°C was suggested (Khan et al, 2020). Tippelt et al (2020) specify that the vector is capable of overwintering at temperatures <2°C in Europe.…”
Section: Climatic Thresholdsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Value Literature 1 Mean January temperature -3.0±0.46 [°C] (Nawrocki & Hawley, 1987;Kobayashi et al, 2002;Medlock et al, 2006;Wu et al, 2011;limiting overwintering Neteler et al, 2013;Waldock et al, 2013;Ogden et al, 2014;Proestos et al, 2015;Kuhlisch et al, 2018;Petri et al, 2018;Khan et al, 2020;Tippelt et al, 2020) 2 Total annual precipitation 422±32 [mm] (Knudsen et al, 1996;Eritja et al, 2005;Medlock et al, 2006;Takumi et al, 2009;Roiz et al, limiting establishment 2011;Neteler et al, 2013;Waldock et al, 2013;Ogden et al, 2014;Proestos et al, 2015;Cunze et al, 2016;Kuhlisch et al, 2018;Sherpa et al, 2019;Khan et al, 2020) 3 Critical temperature 10.6±0.36 [°C] (Medlock et al, 2006;Romi et al, 2006;Takumi et al, 2009;Gatt et al, 2010;Mogi & Tuno, for spring hatching 2014;Flacio et al, 2016;Komagata et al, 2017) 4 Critical photoperiod 11.2±0.24 [h] (Medlock et al, 2006;Romi et al, 2006;Takumi et al, 2009;Gatt et al, 2010; (Focks et al, 1994;Toma et al, 2003;Medlock et al, 2006;Lacour et al, 2015 et a...…”
Section: Climatic Parametermentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Over the past decade there has been an increase in virus activity, including a large outbreak in the summer of 2019 (ProMED 2019). Environmental changes associated with climate change may alter disease risk by changing the abundance and distribution of the primary mosquito vector, by lengthening the virus-transmission season, and by extending the transmission range to areas previously unsuitable (Ng et al 2017, Khan et al 2020.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…In 2017, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) of the United States of America estimated that Ae. albopictus ’ potential distribution in the United States could extend to the northernmost states of the east coast, which share borders with Canada: New York, Vermont, and New Hampshire [ 9 , 10 , 11 ]. Enhanced surveillance in Windsor-Essex County (in Ontario, Canada) detected the presence of both species at the larval stage in 2016.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%