“…To this end, Table X uses an ordered logit model to estimate the influence of communal HIV infection on a DHS individual's progression through the ordinal categories of no schooling to primary, then secondary and, in the case of young adults, possibly tertiary 37 I include country specific dummies for dual orphans (with both parents dead) since Case et al (2004) find an increased effect from the death of both parents, as do I. Although cross sectional studies of African couples find that .3 to .4 of the partners of infected males and females are HIV negative (Carpenter et al 1999, Gray et al 1998, Hira et al 1990and Serwadda et al 1995, seroconversion over time suggests that most AIDS orphans will ultimately be dual orphans. 38 On this, see the surveys of the Monitoring Learning Achievement Project (Chinapah et al 2000 andStrauss 1999), which find, for example, that more than .20 of 4th grade students in Madagascar, Malawi, and South Africa had repeated grade 1, while .15 or more of 4th grade students were repeating that grade in Botswana, Malawi, Senegal, South Africa, Tunisia, and Uganda.…”