Death-rates in Great Britain and Sweden. Some general regularities and their significance*

Kermack, W. R.; McKendrick, A. G.; Mckinlay, P. L.

doi:10.1093/ije/30.4.678

Cited by 75 publications

(23 citation statements)

References 3 publications

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“…In the first 30 years of the twentieth century, infancy and childhood were seen as the most critical phases for long-term health (Derrick 1927;Kermack et al 1934). Finch and Crimmins (2004) suggested that the reduction in early-life mortality of historical cohorts explains almost all of the mortality variation at old age.…”

Section: Early-life Circumstances and Late-life Health And Mortalitymentioning

confidence: 99%

Month of Birth and Dementia Late in Life

Doblhammer

Fritze

2015

Köln Z Soziol

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Dementia is one of the most common, still incurable diseases of old age, with high costs for the patient, the family and the society. Scholars of dementia have identified important risk factors in mid-life but little attention has been devoted to the earliest period in life. This article extends the research about risk factors of dementia to the time around birth. We start by discussing the influential theories of fetal programming and of the thrifty phenotype, and briefly contrast these theories with life-course approaches and the theory of the accumulation of advantage or disadvantage over the life course. Our own empirical study is based on an exogenous indicator of the early life environment, namely the month of birth. We present the theoretical background of using this indicator and discuss others such as famines, epidemics, and macro-economic fluctuations. Using data from the largest public health insurer in Germany we explore the relationship between the month of birth and dementia and find that the winter-born have the lowest risk of developing dementia. We present the pros and cons of using claims data in the study of dementia and discuss research findings that may shed light on the biological mechanisms underlying our finding.

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Section: Early-life Circumstances and Late-life Health And Mortalitymentioning

confidence: 99%

Month of Birth and Dementia Late in Life

Doblhammer

Fritze

2015

Köln Z Soziol

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“…The results in studies that find a very strong association between cohort's mortality early in life and later mortality using aggregate nationallevel mortality data may be confounded by changing period conditions (Barbi and Vaupel 2005;Finch 2006a, 2006b;Finch and Crimmins 2004;Kermack et al 1934Kermack et al , 2001. Studies that remove the potentially confounding period effect using de-trending techniques mostly find a weak or no link between cohort-level early life mortality and later mortality (Gagnon and Mazan 2009;van den Berg et al 2006van den Berg et al , 2009Bruckner and Catalano 2009).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

The effects of shocks in early life mortality on later life expectancy and mortality compression: A cohort analysis

Myrskylä¹

2010

DemRes

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“…This graph was later redrawn and popularized by Luigi Perozzo (1880), but it was not until the 20 th century that surface plots became popular in the demographic literature. The pioneers Kermack, McKendrick, and McKinlay (2001) and Delaporte (1942) used contour lines to indicate regions of similar mortality levels and improvements on the period-age surface noting the emergence of regular patterns. Vaupel, Gambill, and Yashin (1987) 8 demonstrated the universal utility of period-age surfaces by plotting a wide range of measures such as between-country mortality rate ratios, population numbers, sex ratios, fertility rates, or model residuals as shaded contours across period and age with darker colours indicating higher values.…”

Section: The Lexis Diagram and Surfacementioning

confidence: 99%