Decarbonisation of passenger light-duty vehicles using spatially resolved TIMES-Ireland Model

Aryanpur, Vahid; Balyk, Olexandr; Daly, Hannah; Gallachóir, Brian Ó; Glynn, James

doi:10.1016/j.apenergy.2022.119078

Cited by 26 publications

(8 citation statements)

References 63 publications

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“…It showed that OPEX parameters contribute to approximately 75% of the TCO for all vehicle types in all countries, with the remaining portion attributed to Capital Expenditure (CAPEX). Contrary to the conventional approach, which primarily focuses on providing CAPEX subsidies to promote the adoption of alternative-drive vehicles, particularly for private cars 50 , the present research and the TCO comparison across EU countries suggest that OPEX incentives can be more effective for freight vehicles. This finding is also consistent with another techno-economic analysis conducted in the US market, emphasising that electric trucks demonstrate cost-effectiveness with increased utilisation compared to traditional counterparts 51 .…”

Section: Discussioncontrasting

confidence: 68%

“…The emission control module tracks CO 2 emissions, ensuring compliance with carbon constraints and enabling carbon-neutrality through direct CO 2 removal technology utilisation. The TIM is a well-established model comprehensively described in reference 59 applied in light-duty vehicles decarbonisation 50 low energy demand analyses 60 and the decarbonisation pathways in the residential sector 61 .…”

Section: Methodology and Datamentioning

confidence: 99%

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Decarbonising road freight transport: The role of zero-emission trucks and intangible costs

Aryanpur,

Rogan

2024

Sci Rep

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The road freight sector faces significant challenges in decarbonisation, driven by high energy demand and limited availability of low-emission fuels and commercialised zero-emission vehicles. This study investigates intangible costs associated with advanced electric and hydrogen-powered trucks, including recharging/refuelling time, cargo capacity limitations, and buyer reluctance towards emerging technologies. Utilising a comprehensive whole-systems modelling approach considering low- and zero-emission fuels, inter-sectoral dynamics, and the carbon budget, we explore cost-optimal decarbonisation pathways for heavy, medium, and light trucks. Scenario and sensitivity analyses reveal the following insights: (1) Electric trucks dominate the market under mitigation pathways across all weight categories. However, the inclusion of intangible costs triggers a shift, leading to the emergence of hydrogen fuel cell vehicles for heavy trucks, while battery electric vehicles are preferred for medium and small trucks. (2) Prioritising heavy truck decarbonisation and taking early action are crucial to avoid carbon lock-in effects. (3) Considering limited decarbonisation options, where electric and hydrogen-fuelled trucks are pivotal, this research highlights the significance of policy instruments targeting operational expenditures over conventional purchase price incentives. Such policies offer dual benefits by supporting truck owners and directing incentives more precisely towards achieving measurable emission reductions.

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Section: Discussioncontrasting

confidence: 68%

Section: Methodology and Datamentioning

confidence: 99%

Decarbonising road freight transport: The role of zero-emission trucks and intangible costs

Aryanpur,

Rogan

2024

Sci Rep

Self Cite

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“…For instance, the modelling rationale for EV diffusion to achieve current policy targets is based on price or cost parity between EVs and internal combustion engines; however Aryanpur et al (2022) conclude that other factors are also critical, and reliance on price parity will overestimate the penetration of EVs within 21 htps://trafficdata.�i.ie/.…”

Section: New Research Insightsmentioning

confidence: 99%

The National Development Plan in 2023: priorities and capacity

Curtis

2024

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The mission of the Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI) is to advance evidence based policymaking that supports economic sustainability and social progress in Ireland. ESRI researchers apply the highest standards of academic excellence to challenges facing policymakers, focusing on 10 areas of critical importance to 21st Century Ireland.The Institute was founded in 1960 by a group of senior civil servants led by Dr T.K. Whitaker, who identified the need for independent and in-depth research analysis to provide a robust evidence base for policymaking in Ireland.Since then, the Institute has remained committed to independent research and its work is free of any expressed ideology or political position. The Institute publishes all research reaching the appropriate academic standard, irrespective of its findings or who funds the research.The quality of its research output is guaranteed by a rigorous peer review process. ESRI researchers are experts in their fields and are committed to producing work that meets the highest academic standards and practices.The work of the Institute is disseminated widely in books, journal articles and reports. ESRI publications are available to download, free of charge, from its website. Additionally, ESRI staff communicate research findings at regular conferences and seminars.The ESRI is a company limited by guarantee, answerable to its members and governed by a Council, comprising up to 14 members who represent a crosssection of ESRI members from academia, civil services, state agencies, businesses and civil society. The Institute receives an annual grant-in-aid from the Department of Public Expenditure and Reform to support the scientific and public interest elements of the Institute's activities; the grant accounted for an average of 30 per cent of the Institute's income over the lifetime of the last Research Strategy. The remaining funding comes from research programmes supported by government departments and agencies, public bodies and competitive research programmes.Further information is available at www.esri.ie.

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“…In ESOMs, such detailed assessments could be considered via model coupling [115][116][117], but such approaches can be challenging [105]. For future work with ESOMs, we suggest improving the model's spatial disaggregation [118] and distinguishing COMM chargers by typical parking/charging duration. For instance, a distinction between chargers at (semi-public) workplace locations and other public locations should be considered (compare with table 1).…”

Section: Limitations and Future Workmentioning

confidence: 99%

How, where, and when to charge electric vehicles – net-zero energy system implications and policy recommendations

Luh,

Kannan,

McKenna

et al. 2023

Environ. Res. Commun.

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A coordinated Charging Infrastructure (CI) strategy could accelerate the adoption of Battery Electric Vehicles (BEVs). Policymakers need to understand the tradeoffs between several types of CI developments. To support decision-makers, we apply the Swiss TIMES Energy system Model, which we extended with heterogeneous consumer segments with four trip types and several CI options. The novelty of this work lies in the interplay of such method advancements, representing BEV charging options with various CI types that can be accessed based on their location type at an hourly intraday temporal resolution. In explorative scenario analyses, we evaluate the effects of CI on car fleet deployment and their energy system implications in achieving net-zero CO2 emissions in Switzerland by 2050. Our analysis shows that the BEV share makes up 39-77% of the fleet by 2050, and each BEV needs about 5 kW total charging capacity, split into 1.6-2.6 BEVs per private charger and 18-25 BEVs per public charger. Providing overnight charging access through private home chargers or public chargers in residential areas facilitates a 12-20% increased BEV penetration compared to the reference scenario. For consumers without private home charging, improved public CI in non-residential areas increases BEV uptake by 24%. While low-power slow CI is cost-effective at home, high-power fast CI in commercial areas supports integration of solar PV. We highlight the need for coordinated CI policies and provide a variety of policy options based on our analysis and international insights.

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Decarbonisation of passenger light-duty vehicles using spatially resolved TIMES-Ireland Model

Cited by 26 publications

References 63 publications

Decarbonising road freight transport: The role of zero-emission trucks and intangible costs

Decarbonising road freight transport: The role of zero-emission trucks and intangible costs

The National Development Plan in 2023: priorities and capacity

How, where, and when to charge electric vehicles – net-zero energy system implications and policy recommendations

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