BackgroundNon-invasive ventilation (NIV) is effective in a variety of acute respiratory illnesses in hospitalised patients. Home NIV is effective for stable patients with hypercapnia due to neuromuscular or chronic pulmonary disease. However, there are little data to guide which patients may benefit from NIV immediately following hospitalisation with hypercapnia.ObjectiveTo evaluate outcomes of patients with daytime hypercapnia at the end of an acute hospital admission.DesignRetrospective cohort study.ParticipantsEntry into the cohort was by querying the hospital electronic medical system for consultations regarding NIV after discharge. Cases received NIV and controls did not. We extracted data on demographics, ICD-9 diagnoses and medications coded at admission, blood gas measurements and dates of discharge, first readmission and death.InterventionNone.Main measurementTime from hospital discharge to mortality or readmission.Key resultsWe identified 585 cases and 53 controls who survived to discharge at the index admission. Cases and controls were broadly similar in age and Charlson Comorbidity Index. In the whole cohort, cases treated with home NIV were at increased risk of death compared with controls (HR 1.88 95% CI 1.17 to 3.03). In multivariate Cox regression for all-cause mortality, poor prognostic factors were increasing age (HR 1.03 per year, 95% CI 1.02 to 1.04), cardiac failure (HR 1.31, 95% CI 1.01 to 1.67) and failure to attend NIV follow-up (HR 2.33, 95% CI 1.33 to 4.10). In contrast, chronic respiratory disease was associated with improved prognosis (HR 0.77, 95% CI 0.61 to 0.97) as was sleep apnoea (HR 0.44, 95% CI 0.23 to 0.83). Cases did not have different time-to-readmission compared with controls (HR 1.42 95% CI 0.99 to 2.02).ConclusionTransitioning to home NIV after a hypercapnic hospitalisation may be useful in younger, co-operative patients with chronic respiratory disease. For older patients or those with cardiac failure, home NIV may not be beneficial and may potentially be harmful.