Instability of landslide accumulation bodies is one of the common geological hazards under the influence of rainfall and water impoundment, especially under the transformation of rainfall patterns caused by global climate changes. Owing to the fact that determining the landslide potential failure mode is vital for preventing landslide disasters, this paper takes the Gongdang landslide as the research object to study the landslide deformation mechanism and predict movement characteristics. Firstly, the geological conditions of the study area and landslide were determined according to the field investigations; secondly, the physical and mechanical parameters of the sliding mass were clarified through laboratory tests. Moreover, the particle flow code (PFC) method was utilized to simulate the potential failure process of the landslide based on the three-dimensional numerical model according to the geological features and the micro-parameters. The results showed that the landslide deformation process lasted approximately 640 s with the stage characteristics of displacement and velocity and presented the evolutionary process with the local instability deformation. The simulation results are of practical significance and application value by effectively illustrating the potential deformation and failure process of the Gongdang landslide, which provides a reference for predicting and preventing the potential failure process of geological hazards in similar engineering through field investigations, laboratory tests, and numerical simulation.